← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy2.04+5.75vs Predicted
-
2Boston College2.56+4.31vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+6.42vs Predicted
-
4University of South Florida1.54+5.83vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island0.99+5.79vs Predicted
-
6Northeastern University1.18+5.29vs Predicted
-
7Bowdoin College2.07+1.96vs Predicted
-
8University of South Florida1.09+2.46vs Predicted
-
9Stanford University2.61-4.17vs Predicted
-
10Dartmouth College2.75-5.33vs Predicted
-
11Jacksonville University-1.38-1.82vs Predicted
-
12University of Vermont1.31+0.38vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.13-4.16vs Predicted
-
14University of Rhode Island0.88-1.83vs Predicted
-
15University of Pennsylvania1.77-6.60vs Predicted
-
16George Washington University0.96-4.29vs Predicted
-
17University of Wisconsin0.70-4.61vs Predicted
-
18Roger Williams University0.62-5.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.75U. S. Naval Academy2.048.9%1st Place
-
6.31Boston College2.5610.0%1st Place
-
9.42St. Mary's College of Maryland1.764.5%1st Place
-
9.83University of South Florida1.544.0%1st Place
-
10.79University of Rhode Island0.993.9%1st Place
-
11.29Northeastern University1.183.5%1st Place
-
8.96Bowdoin College2.074.9%1st Place
-
10.46University of South Florida1.093.8%1st Place
-
4.83Stanford University2.6115.2%1st Place
-
4.67Dartmouth College2.7517.4%1st Place
-
9.18Jacksonville University-1.383.9%1st Place
-
12.38University of Vermont1.311.9%1st Place
-
8.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.134.7%1st Place
-
12.17University of Rhode Island0.881.9%1st Place
-
8.4University of Pennsylvania1.775.5%1st Place
-
11.71George Washington University0.962.2%1st Place
-
12.39University of Wisconsin0.701.9%1st Place
-
12.63Roger Williams University0.621.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Blauvelt | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Madison Bashaw | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.3% |
| Eden Nykamp | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.1% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 15.2% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 17.4% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Emily Allen | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| Grace Gear | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 16.0% |
| Dana Haig | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Molly Coghlin | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 12.2% |
| Sofia Segalla | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.2% |
| Mary Castellini | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 14.1% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 16.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.