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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.60+2.10vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.11+0.42vs Predicted
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3Queen's University1.19+0.80vs Predicted
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4Princeton University0.88+0.24vs Predicted
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5William and Mary1.20-1.20vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.24-2.31vs Predicted
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7Penn State University-3.26-0.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.1Cornell University1.600.2%1st Place
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2.42Fordham University2.110.3%1st Place
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3.8Queen's University1.190.1%1st Place
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4.24Princeton University0.880.1%1st Place
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3.8William and Mary1.200.1%1st Place
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3.69George Washington University1.240.1%1st Place
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6.94Penn State University-3.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hillary Paulsen | 21.0% | 19.8% | 19.4% | 17.2% | 13.4% | 8.8% | 0.4% |
| Mia Cooper | 33.1% | 26.8% | 18.6% | 11.8% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Heather Richardson | 11.5% | 13.0% | 18.6% | 17.2% | 20.4% | 18.8% | 0.5% |
| Lucy Cobbs | 9.1% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 15.7% | 21.3% | 30.4% | 0.8% |
| Derrill Hagood | 11.3% | 15.1% | 15.4% | 19.3% | 19.2% | 18.8% | 0.9% |
| Alex Hitchcock | 14.0% | 14.7% | 15.4% | 18.6% | 19.0% | 18.0% | 0.3% |
| Lauren Thompson | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 97.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.