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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+7.14vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.42+2.10vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.45+5.97vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.92+3.13vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.38+0.48vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.20+0.29vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University0.95+4.60vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.13+3.17vs Predicted
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9Harvard University1.90-1.51vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii0.99+0.46vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.21-2.45vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.44-1.70vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-3.34vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.14-3.80vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.83-1.32vs Predicted
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16Texas A&M University0.20-2.31vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University1.26-7.02vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College0.19-3.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.036.2%1st Place
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4.1Yale University2.4220.3%1st Place
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8.97College of Charleston1.455.2%1st Place
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7.13Brown University1.927.9%1st Place
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5.48Cornell University2.3812.6%1st Place
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6.29Georgetown University2.209.3%1st Place
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11.6Old Dominion University0.952.2%1st Place
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11.17Fordham University1.132.9%1st Place
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7.49Harvard University1.906.5%1st Place
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10.46University of Hawaii0.993.1%1st Place
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8.55Tulane University2.214.7%1st Place
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10.3Tufts University1.443.5%1st Place
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9.66Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.974.1%1st Place
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10.2Boston University1.143.8%1st Place
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13.68Salve Regina University0.831.2%1st Place
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13.69Texas A&M University0.201.5%1st Place
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9.98North Carolina State University1.263.8%1st Place
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14.12Connecticut College0.191.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Bornarth | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Carmen Cowles | 20.3% | 16.9% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Squires | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Caroline Bayless | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Bridget Green | 12.6% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Piper Holthus | 9.3% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.1% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 5.6% |
| Sarah Burn | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 3.0% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Chloe Holder | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 2.8% |
| Heather Kerns | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.0% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 16.5% | 21.9% |
| Hanna Progelhof | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 16.6% | 21.6% |
| Olivia Sowa | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Miya Preyer | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 15.3% | 28.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.