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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.60+2.31vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.11+0.64vs Predicted
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3Princeton University1.81+0.12vs Predicted
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4William and Mary1.20+0.02vs Predicted
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5Queen's University1.19-0.96vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.24-2.08vs Predicted
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7Penn State University-3.26-0.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.31Cornell University1.600.2%1st Place
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2.64Fordham University2.110.3%1st Place
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3.12Princeton University1.810.2%1st Place
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4.02William and Mary1.200.1%1st Place
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4.04Queen's University1.190.1%1st Place
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3.92George Washington University1.240.1%1st Place
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6.95Penn State University-3.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hillary Paulsen | 18.9% | 17.7% | 18.0% | 18.0% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 0.5% |
| Mia Cooper | 27.6% | 25.5% | 20.7% | 12.7% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Gebb | 20.4% | 19.6% | 19.9% | 17.1% | 13.9% | 9.0% | 0.1% |
| Derrill Hagood | 11.2% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 18.3% | 21.3% | 24.0% | 0.7% |
| Heather Richardson | 10.0% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 16.6% | 21.0% | 24.9% | 0.9% |
| Alex Hitchcock | 11.9% | 13.0% | 14.2% | 17.0% | 20.5% | 23.1% | 0.3% |
| Lauren Thompson | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 97.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.