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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University1.81+2.04vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.60+1.37vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.11-0.36vs Predicted
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4William and Mary1.20+0.01vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.24-1.01vs Predicted
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6Queen's University1.19-2.00vs Predicted
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7Penn State University-3.26-0.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.04Princeton University1.810.2%1st Place
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3.37Cornell University1.600.2%1st Place
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2.64Fordham University2.110.3%1st Place
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4.01William and Mary1.200.1%1st Place
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3.99George Washington University1.240.1%1st Place
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4.0Queen's University1.190.1%1st Place
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6.95Penn State University-3.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samantha Gebb | 22.7% | 20.9% | 18.4% | 15.5% | 13.3% | 8.8% | 0.4% |
| Hillary Paulsen | 16.8% | 17.3% | 18.6% | 18.9% | 16.2% | 12.2% | 0.0% |
| Mia Cooper | 28.5% | 24.4% | 18.8% | 15.7% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 0.1% |
| Derrill Hagood | 10.5% | 12.5% | 14.5% | 15.7% | 22.6% | 23.5% | 0.7% |
| Alex Hitchcock | 10.9% | 11.5% | 15.9% | 16.7% | 20.3% | 23.8% | 0.9% |
| Heather Richardson | 10.6% | 13.3% | 13.5% | 17.3% | 19.1% | 25.8% | 0.4% |
| Lauren Thompson | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 97.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.