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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.75+3.72vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.07+7.10vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.56+3.29vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.04+2.95vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.88+7.01vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.18+5.31vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.54+2.73vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.99+2.77vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin0.70+3.52vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.13-1.38vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.09-0.57vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University0.62+0.54vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-3.53vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.31-1.36vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania1.77-6.50vs Predicted
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16Stanford University2.61-11.28vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University-1.38-7.85vs Predicted
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18George Washington University0.96-6.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.72Dartmouth College2.7514.9%1st Place
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9.1Bowdoin College2.075.3%1st Place
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6.29Boston College2.569.8%1st Place
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6.95U. S. Naval Academy2.048.6%1st Place
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12.01University of Rhode Island0.881.8%1st Place
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11.31Northeastern University1.182.6%1st Place
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9.73University of South Florida1.545.0%1st Place
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10.77University of Rhode Island0.994.1%1st Place
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12.52University of Wisconsin0.702.2%1st Place
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8.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.135.2%1st Place
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10.43University of South Florida1.093.6%1st Place
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12.54Roger Williams University0.622.0%1st Place
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9.47St. Mary's College of Maryland1.764.8%1st Place
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12.64University of Vermont1.311.9%1st Place
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8.5University of Pennsylvania1.775.3%1st Place
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4.72Stanford University2.6116.2%1st Place
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9.15Jacksonville University-1.383.9%1st Place
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11.54George Washington University0.962.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Hawkins | 14.9% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Molly Coghlin | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 11.9% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% |
| Eden Nykamp | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.9% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.1% |
| Mary Castellini | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 15.6% |
| Dana Haig | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.7% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 15.9% |
| Madison Bashaw | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Grace Gear | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 16.4% |
| Sofia Segalla | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 16.2% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Emily Allen | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.0% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.