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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University1.81+2.04vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.60+1.37vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.11-0.35vs Predicted
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4William and Mary1.20+0.01vs Predicted
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5Queen's University1.19-0.94vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.24-2.08vs Predicted
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7Penn State University-3.26-0.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.04Princeton University1.810.2%1st Place
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3.37Cornell University1.600.2%1st Place
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2.65Fordham University2.110.3%1st Place
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4.01William and Mary1.200.1%1st Place
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4.06Queen's University1.190.1%1st Place
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3.92George Washington University1.240.1%1st Place
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6.96Penn State University-3.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samantha Gebb | 22.8% | 20.5% | 18.6% | 15.9% | 13.2% | 8.6% | 0.4% |
| Hillary Paulsen | 17.1% | 17.0% | 18.6% | 19.0% | 15.9% | 12.4% | 0.0% |
| Mia Cooper | 28.3% | 24.6% | 18.6% | 16.1% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 0.1% |
| Derrill Hagood | 10.5% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 16.1% | 22.0% | 23.8% | 0.7% |
| Heather Richardson | 10.0% | 11.5% | 15.0% | 16.4% | 20.7% | 25.5% | 0.9% |
| Alex Hitchcock | 11.3% | 13.7% | 14.6% | 16.3% | 20.2% | 23.6% | 0.3% |
| Lauren Thompson | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 97.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.