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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.45+9.74vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.61+2.68vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.75+1.73vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.56+2.09vs Predicted
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5George Washington University0.96+6.80vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.07+3.00vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.13+1.56vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.04-1.28vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.31+3.43vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-0.81vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.54-1.20vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.18-0.77vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.09-2.80vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.88-2.16vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin0.70-2.77vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University-1.38-7.09vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island0.99-6.46vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University0.62-5.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.74University of Pennsylvania1.453.0%1st Place
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4.68Stanford University2.6116.2%1st Place
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4.73Dartmouth College2.7517.1%1st Place
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6.09Boston College2.5610.4%1st Place
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11.8George Washington University0.961.9%1st Place
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9.0Bowdoin College2.075.3%1st Place
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8.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.135.2%1st Place
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6.72U. S. Naval Academy2.048.9%1st Place
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12.43University of Vermont1.312.4%1st Place
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9.19St. Mary's College of Maryland1.764.4%1st Place
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9.8University of South Florida1.543.1%1st Place
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11.23Northeastern University1.181.9%1st Place
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10.2University of South Florida1.094.5%1st Place
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11.84University of Rhode Island0.882.4%1st Place
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12.23University of Wisconsin0.702.2%1st Place
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8.91Jacksonville University-1.385.2%1st Place
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10.54University of Rhode Island0.993.2%1st Place
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12.29Roger Williams University0.622.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madeleine Rice | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 16.2% | 15.0% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 17.1% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 10.4% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 9.7% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% |
| Dana Haig | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Grace Gear | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 15.0% |
| Madison Bashaw | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Eden Nykamp | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.3% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% |
| Molly Coghlin | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 11.6% |
| Mary Castellini | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 14.5% |
| Emily Allen | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 16.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.