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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.11+1.59vs Predicted
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2Queen's University1.19+1.94vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.60+0.40vs Predicted
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4William and Mary1.20+0.02vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.24-1.02vs Predicted
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6Princeton University1.81-2.89vs Predicted
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7Penn State University-3.26-0.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.59Fordham University2.110.3%1st Place
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3.94Queen's University1.190.1%1st Place
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3.4Cornell University1.600.2%1st Place
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4.02William and Mary1.200.1%1st Place
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3.98George Washington University1.240.1%1st Place
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3.11Princeton University1.810.2%1st Place
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6.95Penn State University-3.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Cooper | 30.9% | 23.9% | 18.2% | 13.8% | 8.7% | 4.3% | 0.2% |
| Heather Richardson | 11.2% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 17.8% | 19.2% | 23.4% | 0.9% |
| Hillary Paulsen | 15.2% | 19.2% | 17.8% | 18.6% | 16.5% | 12.5% | 0.2% |
| Derrill Hagood | 11.1% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 17.3% | 21.0% | 24.8% | 0.4% |
| Alex Hitchcock | 10.6% | 12.4% | 15.9% | 16.1% | 20.0% | 24.1% | 0.9% |
| Samantha Gebb | 21.0% | 19.6% | 19.8% | 15.9% | 14.1% | 9.5% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Thompson | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 97.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.