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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.67+0.88vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.43+1.29vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.97-0.42vs Predicted
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4Queen's University0.38+0.88vs Predicted
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5Penn State University-0.01+0.34vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-0.03-0.63vs Predicted
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7William and Mary0.36-2.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.88George Washington University2.670.5%1st Place
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3.29Fordham University1.430.1%1st Place
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2.58Cornell University1.970.2%1st Place
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4.88Queen's University0.380.0%1st Place
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5.34Penn State University-0.010.0%1st Place
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5.37Princeton University-0.030.0%1st Place
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4.67William and Mary0.360.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah McNomee | 49.3% | 26.7% | 14.3% | 7.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Madeleine Sims | 13.1% | 19.5% | 24.8% | 21.0% | 13.2% | 6.5% | 1.9% |
| Quinn Howes | 22.7% | 30.5% | 25.0% | 12.6% | 6.6% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Joy MacDonald | 3.2% | 6.8% | 10.6% | 16.9% | 21.5% | 23.2% | 17.8% |
| Eliza Crawford | 3.0% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 12.6% | 18.3% | 21.3% | 32.9% |
| Elizabeth Smith | 3.1% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 12.7% | 17.4% | 23.2% | 32.4% |
| Kaitlynn Menoche | 5.6% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 17.2% | 21.0% | 23.0% | 14.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.