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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.61+3.64vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.07+6.82vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+6.09vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.45+6.66vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.31+7.36vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.75-1.32vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.04-0.32vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.13+0.54vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.56-2.76vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.99+0.92vs Predicted
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11George Washington University0.96+0.53vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.18-1.06vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.54-3.36vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.09-3.73vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island0.88-2.85vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin0.70-3.72vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University-1.38-8.07vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University0.62-5.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.64Stanford University2.6116.8%1st Place
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8.82Bowdoin College2.075.3%1st Place
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9.09St. Mary's College of Maryland1.765.2%1st Place
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10.66University of Pennsylvania1.453.0%1st Place
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12.36University of Vermont1.312.5%1st Place
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4.68Dartmouth College2.7515.9%1st Place
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6.68U. S. Naval Academy2.0410.0%1st Place
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8.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.135.2%1st Place
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6.24Boston College2.569.6%1st Place
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10.92University of Rhode Island0.993.8%1st Place
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11.53George Washington University0.962.6%1st Place
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10.94Northeastern University1.183.1%1st Place
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9.64University of South Florida1.543.6%1st Place
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10.27University of South Florida1.093.2%1st Place
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12.15University of Rhode Island0.881.8%1st Place
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12.28University of Wisconsin0.701.6%1st Place
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8.93Jacksonville University-1.384.9%1st Place
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12.66Roger Williams University0.622.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 16.8% | 13.5% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Madison Bashaw | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% |
| Madeleine Rice | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% |
| Grace Gear | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 14.9% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 15.9% | 15.2% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Dana Haig | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 9.6% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.8% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% |
| Eden Nykamp | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.3% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% |
| Molly Coghlin | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 13.1% |
| Mary Castellini | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 12.2% | 14.1% |
| Emily Allen | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 16.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.