← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Fordham University1.43+2.33vs Predicted
-
2William and Mary0.36+2.83vs Predicted
-
3George Washington University2.67-1.19vs Predicted
-
4Penn State University-0.01+1.36vs Predicted
-
5Cornell University1.97-2.36vs Predicted
-
6Princeton University-0.03-0.61vs Predicted
-
7Queen's University0.38-2.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.33Fordham University1.430.1%1st Place
-
4.83William and Mary0.360.0%1st Place
-
1.81George Washington University2.670.5%1st Place
-
5.36Penn State University-0.010.0%1st Place
-
2.64Cornell University1.970.2%1st Place
-
5.39Princeton University-0.030.0%1st Place
-
4.64Queen's University0.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madeleine Sims | 13.3% | 19.4% | 23.8% | 19.6% | 14.4% | 7.4% | 2.1% |
| Kaitlynn Menoche | 4.1% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 17.0% | 23.7% | 21.0% | 17.6% |
| Hannah McNomee | 50.6% | 26.8% | 15.2% | 5.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Eliza Crawford | 2.4% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 13.7% | 15.6% | 24.3% | 31.9% |
| Quinn Howes | 22.2% | 28.9% | 25.7% | 13.6% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Elizabeth Smith | 2.6% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 13.9% | 16.4% | 23.4% | 32.9% |
| Joy MacDonald | 4.8% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 16.5% | 22.5% | 20.7% | 14.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.