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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.43+2.27vs Predicted
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2Princeton University-0.03+3.35vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.67-1.18vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.97-1.37vs Predicted
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5William and Mary0.36-0.11vs Predicted
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6Queen's University0.38-1.18vs Predicted
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7Penn State University-0.01-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.27Fordham University1.430.1%1st Place
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5.35Princeton University-0.030.0%1st Place
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1.82George Washington University2.670.5%1st Place
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2.63Cornell University1.970.2%1st Place
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4.89William and Mary0.360.0%1st Place
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4.82Queen's University0.380.0%1st Place
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5.21Penn State University-0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madeleine Sims | 13.8% | 21.4% | 22.0% | 21.1% | 12.4% | 6.6% | 2.7% |
| Elizabeth Smith | 2.6% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 11.8% | 18.8% | 22.0% | 32.4% |
| Hannah McNomee | 48.5% | 30.4% | 14.2% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Quinn Howes | 23.8% | 25.4% | 25.9% | 16.4% | 6.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Kaitlynn Menoche | 3.7% | 6.0% | 10.8% | 17.2% | 20.5% | 22.6% | 19.2% |
| Joy MacDonald | 3.8% | 6.6% | 10.9% | 17.7% | 21.1% | 23.0% | 16.9% |
| Eliza Crawford | 3.8% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 19.1% | 23.8% | 28.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.