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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.38+4.39vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+6.27vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.21+5.69vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.45+4.98vs Predicted
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5Harvard University1.90+2.73vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.92+1.26vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.13+4.28vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.44+2.53vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.26+1.06vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.42-5.67vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.20-4.58vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.65-0.44vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University0.95-1.07vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-4.12vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.14-4.65vs Predicted
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16University of Hawaii0.99-5.34vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University0.83-3.15vs Predicted
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18Texas A&M University0.20-4.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.39Cornell University2.3814.0%1st Place
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8.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.035.1%1st Place
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8.69Tulane University2.215.1%1st Place
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8.98College of Charleston1.454.5%1st Place
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7.73Harvard University1.906.7%1st Place
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7.26Brown University1.928.2%1st Place
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11.28Fordham University1.132.8%1st Place
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10.53Tufts University1.442.5%1st Place
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10.06North Carolina State University1.264.0%1st Place
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4.33Yale University2.4217.8%1st Place
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6.42Georgetown University2.209.9%1st Place
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11.56Connecticut College0.652.9%1st Place
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11.93Old Dominion University0.952.4%1st Place
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9.88Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.973.7%1st Place
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10.35Boston University1.143.8%1st Place
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10.66University of Hawaii0.993.3%1st Place
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13.85Salve Regina University0.831.5%1st Place
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13.82Texas A&M University0.202.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 14.0% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Emily Bornarth | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% |
| Grace Squires | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Caroline Bayless | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.1% |
| Chloe Holder | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% |
| Olivia Sowa | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.4% |
| Carmen Cowles | 17.8% | 17.9% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.7% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 9.4% |
| Heather Kerns | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 3.4% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 15.0% | 25.1% |
| Hanna Progelhof | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 15.2% | 27.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.