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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.19+5.65vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.43+3.87vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.53+9.77vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University4.31+2.43vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.68+3.59vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont3.62+3.19vs Predicted
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7Harvard University4.17-0.12vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University3.92-0.28vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College4.05-1.50vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53-1.84vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-3.90vs Predicted
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13Brown University4.25-6.41vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.70-5.23vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.62-5.88vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire1.81-1.41vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.70-4.57vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut2.62-5.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.65Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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5.87Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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12.77Boston University2.530.0%1st Place
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6.43Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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8.59Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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9.19University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
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6.88Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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7.72Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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7.5Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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9.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.0%1st Place
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8.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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6.59Brown University4.250.1%1st Place
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8.77Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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9.12University of Rhode Island3.620.0%1st Place
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14.59University of New Hampshire1.810.0%1st Place
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12.43Bowdoin College2.700.0%1st Place
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12.63University of Connecticut2.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Morris | 10.5% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Anne Haeger | 11.6% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mathew Renik | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 19.4% | 17.0% |
| Sean Bouchard | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Maggie Shea | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| Coleman Bowen | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| John Stokes | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Wefer | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Andrew Sommer | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| William Brown | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Massimo Soriano | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% |
| Matthew Carmody | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 1.0% |
| Neal Drake | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 10.4% | 16.2% | 45.1% |
| Billy Rohman | 2.1% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 14.3% | 16.1% | 12.6% |
| Peter Giuliano | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 15.1% | 18.4% | 15.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.