← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Fordham University1.43+2.29vs Predicted
-
2Cornell University1.97+0.59vs Predicted
-
3Princeton University-0.03+2.36vs Predicted
-
4Penn State University-0.01+1.36vs Predicted
-
5George Washington University2.67-3.12vs Predicted
-
6Queen's University0.38-1.21vs Predicted
-
7William and Mary0.36-2.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.29Fordham University1.430.1%1st Place
-
2.59Cornell University1.970.2%1st Place
-
5.36Princeton University-0.030.0%1st Place
-
5.36Penn State University-0.010.0%1st Place
-
1.88George Washington University2.670.5%1st Place
-
4.79Queen's University0.380.0%1st Place
-
4.72William and Mary0.360.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madeleine Sims | 14.6% | 19.2% | 21.8% | 22.0% | 13.6% | 6.9% | 1.9% |
| Quinn Howes | 23.0% | 29.1% | 26.0% | 12.8% | 6.3% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Elizabeth Smith | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 12.2% | 18.2% | 24.4% | 31.4% |
| Eliza Crawford | 2.7% | 4.3% | 7.9% | 12.8% | 16.7% | 22.9% | 32.7% |
| Hannah McNomee | 46.5% | 29.0% | 16.5% | 6.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Joy MacDonald | 4.4% | 5.8% | 11.3% | 18.7% | 20.5% | 23.0% | 16.3% |
| Kaitlynn Menoche | 5.1% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 15.5% | 23.0% | 20.3% | 17.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.