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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.75+3.74vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.04+4.85vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.07+5.93vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.61+0.63vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.45+5.83vs Predicted
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62.13+2.28vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.54+2.56vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.18+3.04vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.56-2.65vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-0.80vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.09-0.76vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.31+0.46vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University-1.38-4.15vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.88-2.04vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin0.70-2.68vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University0.62-3.57vs Predicted
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17George Washington University0.96-5.39vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island0.99-7.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.74Dartmouth College2.7515.8%1st Place
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6.85U. S. Naval Academy2.048.3%1st Place
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8.93Bowdoin College2.075.7%1st Place
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4.63Stanford University2.6115.8%1st Place
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10.83University of Pennsylvania1.452.9%1st Place
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8.282.136.2%1st Place
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9.56University of South Florida1.544.5%1st Place
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11.04Northeastern University1.183.2%1st Place
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6.35Boston College2.569.2%1st Place
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9.2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.764.8%1st Place
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10.24University of South Florida1.094.2%1st Place
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12.46University of Vermont1.312.2%1st Place
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8.85Jacksonville University-1.385.2%1st Place
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11.96University of Rhode Island0.882.1%1st Place
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12.32University of Wisconsin0.702.2%1st Place
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12.43Roger Williams University0.622.5%1st Place
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11.61George Washington University0.962.5%1st Place
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10.73University of Rhode Island0.992.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Hawkins | 15.8% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 15.8% | 14.7% | 14.4% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeleine Rice | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 4.9% |
| Dana Haig | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% |
| Eden Nykamp | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.4% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Madison Bashaw | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.2% |
| Grace Gear | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 15.8% |
| Emily Allen | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% |
| Molly Coghlin | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 11.4% |
| Mary Castellini | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 14.6% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 15.6% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.7% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.