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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.43+2.31vs Predicted
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2William and Mary0.36+2.81vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.97-0.40vs Predicted
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4Penn State University-0.01+1.37vs Predicted
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5Queen's University0.38-0.17vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.67-4.15vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.03-1.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.31Fordham University1.430.1%1st Place
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4.81William and Mary0.360.0%1st Place
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2.6Cornell University1.970.2%1st Place
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5.37Penn State University-0.010.0%1st Place
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4.83Queen's University0.380.0%1st Place
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1.85George Washington University2.670.5%1st Place
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5.23Princeton University-0.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madeleine Sims | 13.5% | 20.3% | 22.5% | 21.5% | 12.1% | 7.8% | 2.3% |
| Kaitlynn Menoche | 3.9% | 6.7% | 10.7% | 16.7% | 23.9% | 21.3% | 16.8% |
| Quinn Howes | 22.3% | 30.2% | 25.8% | 12.7% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Eliza Crawford | 2.8% | 3.7% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 17.6% | 22.0% | 33.3% |
| Joy MacDonald | 4.9% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 17.6% | 22.1% | 22.4% | 17.5% |
| Hannah McNomee | 49.0% | 28.1% | 13.9% | 7.1% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Smith | 3.6% | 5.1% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 16.9% | 23.4% | 29.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.