← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+7.11vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University2.20+4.34vs Predicted
-
3Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+6.82vs Predicted
-
4Tulane University2.21+4.63vs Predicted
-
5Cornell University2.38+0.56vs Predicted
-
6Yale University2.42-1.71vs Predicted
-
7Harvard University1.90+0.63vs Predicted
-
8Fordham University1.13+3.34vs Predicted
-
9Connecticut College0.65+2.61vs Predicted
-
10Brown University1.92-2.73vs Predicted
-
11North Carolina State University1.26-0.85vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University1.44-1.42vs Predicted
-
13Salve Regina University0.83+0.63vs Predicted
-
14College of Charleston1.45-4.83vs Predicted
-
15Old Dominion University0.95-3.11vs Predicted
-
16Texas A&M University0.20-2.00vs Predicted
-
17Boston University1.14-6.58vs Predicted
-
18University of Hawaii0.99-7.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.036.8%1st Place
-
6.34Georgetown University2.209.9%1st Place
-
9.82Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.973.7%1st Place
-
8.63Tulane University2.215.2%1st Place
-
5.56Cornell University2.3811.2%1st Place
-
4.29Yale University2.4219.6%1st Place
-
7.63Harvard University1.907.0%1st Place
-
11.34Fordham University1.132.2%1st Place
-
11.61Connecticut College0.652.1%1st Place
-
7.27Brown University1.928.6%1st Place
-
10.15North Carolina State University1.263.5%1st Place
-
10.58Tufts University1.443.9%1st Place
-
13.63Salve Regina University0.831.1%1st Place
-
9.17College of Charleston1.454.1%1st Place
-
11.89Old Dominion University0.952.2%1st Place
-
14.0Texas A&M University0.201.4%1st Place
-
10.42Boston University1.143.7%1st Place
-
10.56University of Hawaii0.993.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Bornarth | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Piper Holthus | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Heather Kerns | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.0% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Bridget Green | 11.2% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 19.6% | 15.4% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.6% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.6% |
| Caroline Bayless | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Sowa | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 3.6% |
| Chloe Holder | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 4.2% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 14.6% | 24.6% |
| Grace Squires | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 9.3% |
| Hanna Progelhof | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 27.6% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.