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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.61+3.77vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.07+6.98vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University-1.38+5.88vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.56+2.33vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.99+5.90vs Predicted
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62.13+2.46vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.45+3.45vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.09+2.18vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.88+2.95vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-0.71vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.04-4.31vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.75-7.38vs Predicted
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13George Washington University0.96-1.38vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.54-4.36vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.18-4.01vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University0.62-3.38vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.31-4.81vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin0.70-5.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.77Stanford University2.6115.2%1st Place
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8.98Bowdoin College2.075.3%1st Place
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8.88Jacksonville University-1.385.0%1st Place
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6.33Boston College2.5610.5%1st Place
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10.9University of Rhode Island0.993.1%1st Place
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8.462.135.3%1st Place
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10.45University of Pennsylvania1.454.0%1st Place
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10.18University of South Florida1.094.2%1st Place
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11.95University of Rhode Island0.882.5%1st Place
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9.29St. Mary's College of Maryland1.765.0%1st Place
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6.69U. S. Naval Academy2.048.6%1st Place
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4.62Dartmouth College2.7514.6%1st Place
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11.62George Washington University0.962.4%1st Place
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9.64University of South Florida1.544.2%1st Place
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10.99Northeastern University1.183.5%1st Place
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12.62Roger Williams University0.621.9%1st Place
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12.19University of Vermont1.312.5%1st Place
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12.44University of Wisconsin0.702.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 15.2% | 14.9% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% |
| Emily Allen | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% |
| Dana Haig | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Madeleine Rice | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% |
| Molly Coghlin | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 12.4% |
| Madison Bashaw | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.3% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 14.6% | 14.8% | 15.2% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% |
| Eden Nykamp | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.5% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 6.7% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 17.0% |
| Grace Gear | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 12.9% |
| Mary Castellini | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 15.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.