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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.97+1.63vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.43+1.28vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.67-1.18vs Predicted
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4Penn State University-0.01+1.40vs Predicted
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5Queen's University0.38-0.18vs Predicted
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6William and Mary0.36-1.20vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.03-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.63Cornell University1.970.2%1st Place
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3.28Fordham University1.430.1%1st Place
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1.82George Washington University2.670.5%1st Place
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5.4Penn State University-0.010.0%1st Place
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4.82Queen's University0.380.0%1st Place
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4.8William and Mary0.360.0%1st Place
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5.25Princeton University-0.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinn Howes | 23.9% | 28.7% | 22.3% | 14.7% | 7.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Madeleine Sims | 13.2% | 17.9% | 27.4% | 20.1% | 13.8% | 5.5% | 2.1% |
| Hannah McNomee | 48.5% | 31.2% | 12.6% | 5.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Eliza Crawford | 2.0% | 4.1% | 7.9% | 12.4% | 17.0% | 24.7% | 31.9% |
| Joy MacDonald | 4.4% | 6.4% | 11.1% | 15.8% | 23.4% | 21.4% | 17.5% |
| Kaitlynn Menoche | 4.3% | 6.2% | 11.5% | 18.2% | 21.1% | 20.3% | 18.4% |
| Elizabeth Smith | 3.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 13.1% | 15.7% | 25.6% | 29.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.