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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.42+3.30vs Predicted
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2Harvard University1.90+5.61vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.14+7.43vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.21+4.75vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.26+5.30vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.38-0.52vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+2.87vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.92-0.59vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.20-2.78vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston1.45-0.70vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University0.95+0.60vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.13-0.77vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.65-1.44vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-5.81vs Predicted
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15Texas A&M University0.20-1.02vs Predicted
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16University of Hawaii0.99-5.39vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University0.83-3.23vs Predicted
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18Tufts University1.44-7.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.3Yale University2.4218.4%1st Place
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7.61Harvard University1.906.5%1st Place
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10.43Boston University1.143.6%1st Place
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8.75Tulane University2.215.5%1st Place
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10.3North Carolina State University1.263.5%1st Place
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5.48Cornell University2.3813.1%1st Place
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9.87Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.974.0%1st Place
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7.41Brown University1.927.5%1st Place
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6.22Georgetown University2.209.2%1st Place
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9.3College of Charleston1.454.8%1st Place
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11.6Old Dominion University0.952.5%1st Place
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11.23Fordham University1.132.9%1st Place
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11.56Connecticut College0.652.5%1st Place
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8.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.037.0%1st Place
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13.98Texas A&M University0.201.1%1st Place
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10.61University of Hawaii0.993.4%1st Place
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13.77Salve Regina University0.831.2%1st Place
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10.38Tufts University1.443.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 18.4% | 16.7% | 14.4% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.0% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Olivia Sowa | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.1% |
| Bridget Green | 13.1% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Heather Kerns | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
| Caroline Bayless | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Piper Holthus | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Grace Squires | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 8.8% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% |
| Emily Bornarth | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Hanna Progelhof | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 15.8% | 26.7% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 4.9% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 13.8% | 25.2% |
| Chloe Holder | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.