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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.97+1.60vs Predicted
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2Queen's University0.38+2.79vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.43+0.31vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-0.03+1.43vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.67-3.11vs Predicted
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6William and Mary0.36-1.18vs Predicted
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7Penn State University-0.01-1.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.6Cornell University1.970.2%1st Place
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4.79Queen's University0.380.0%1st Place
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3.31Fordham University1.430.1%1st Place
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5.43Princeton University-0.030.0%1st Place
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1.89George Washington University2.670.5%1st Place
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4.82William and Mary0.360.0%1st Place
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5.17Penn State University-0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinn Howes | 24.0% | 29.4% | 22.9% | 13.8% | 7.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Joy MacDonald | 4.2% | 6.7% | 10.8% | 17.8% | 21.9% | 21.8% | 16.8% |
| Madeleine Sims | 13.1% | 18.7% | 25.6% | 20.1% | 14.6% | 5.5% | 2.4% |
| Elizabeth Smith | 2.7% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 12.3% | 16.5% | 23.6% | 34.1% |
| Hannah McNomee | 47.2% | 29.3% | 14.1% | 6.9% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlynn Menoche | 4.9% | 5.5% | 11.2% | 17.4% | 20.9% | 21.9% | 18.2% |
| Eliza Crawford | 3.9% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 16.9% | 25.0% | 27.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.