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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.04+5.60vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+7.16vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.13+5.34vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.61+0.53vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.54+4.41vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.07+2.90vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.99+3.51vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.45+2.71vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.56-2.86vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.60-1.37vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.10-3.59vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.18-1.04vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.88-1.29vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin0.70-1.51vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University-1.38-6.06vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.31-3.53vs Predicted
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17George Washington University0.96-5.35vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University0.62-5.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.6U. S. Naval Academy2.049.7%1st Place
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9.16St. Mary's College of Maryland1.764.9%1st Place
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8.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.136.5%1st Place
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4.53Stanford University2.6116.2%1st Place
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9.41University of South Florida1.544.0%1st Place
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8.9Bowdoin College2.075.3%1st Place
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10.51University of Rhode Island0.993.5%1st Place
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10.71University of Pennsylvania1.453.6%1st Place
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6.14Boston College2.5611.8%1st Place
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8.63University of South Florida1.606.3%1st Place
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7.41Dartmouth College2.108.9%1st Place
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10.96Northeastern University1.183.4%1st Place
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11.71University of Rhode Island0.882.1%1st Place
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12.49University of Wisconsin0.701.8%1st Place
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8.94Jacksonville University-1.385.2%1st Place
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12.47University of Vermont1.312.9%1st Place
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11.65George Washington University0.962.5%1st Place
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12.46Roger Williams University0.621.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Blauvelt | 9.7% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Madison Bashaw | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Dana Haig | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 16.2% | 16.3% | 14.4% | 12.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.4% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% |
| Madeleine Rice | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.2% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 11.8% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Sarah Young | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% |
| Molly Coghlin | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 11.1% |
| Mary Castellini | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 15.1% |
| Emily Allen | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% |
| Grace Gear | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 16.5% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.4% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 15.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.