← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Cornell University1.97+1.62vs Predicted
-
2Queen's University0.38+2.77vs Predicted
-
3George Washington University2.67-1.19vs Predicted
-
4William and Mary0.36+0.88vs Predicted
-
5Fordham University1.43-1.64vs Predicted
-
6Penn State University-0.01-0.68vs Predicted
-
7Princeton University-0.03-1.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.62Cornell University1.970.2%1st Place
-
4.77Queen's University0.380.0%1st Place
-
1.81George Washington University2.670.5%1st Place
-
4.88William and Mary0.360.0%1st Place
-
3.36Fordham University1.430.1%1st Place
-
5.32Penn State University-0.010.0%1st Place
-
5.23Princeton University-0.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinn Howes | 23.8% | 29.3% | 22.5% | 13.8% | 7.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Joy MacDonald | 4.7% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 18.0% | 22.4% | 21.6% | 16.4% |
| Hannah McNomee | 48.8% | 29.5% | 15.2% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlynn Menoche | 3.6% | 6.2% | 10.8% | 17.7% | 19.3% | 24.4% | 18.0% |
| Madeleine Sims | 12.1% | 18.5% | 25.1% | 21.3% | 13.7% | 6.9% | 2.4% |
| Eliza Crawford | 3.0% | 4.3% | 7.9% | 13.7% | 17.7% | 20.7% | 32.7% |
| Elizabeth Smith | 4.0% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 17.6% | 24.2% | 29.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.