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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.42+3.08vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.20+4.14vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.90+4.32vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.21+4.33vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.04+1.37vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+3.72vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston1.45+2.00vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-0.14vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.44+1.25vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.68-2.52vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.13+0.40vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.14-1.87vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University0.95-1.66vs Predicted
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14Texas A&M University0.20-0.28vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University1.26-5.35vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.19-1.79vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University0.83-3.43vs Predicted
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18University of Hawaii0.99-7.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.08Yale University2.4219.9%1st Place
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6.14Georgetown University2.2010.0%1st Place
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7.32Harvard University1.906.9%1st Place
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8.33Tulane University2.216.0%1st Place
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6.37Brown University2.0410.1%1st Place
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9.72Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.974.0%1st Place
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9.0College of Charleston1.454.5%1st Place
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7.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.036.5%1st Place
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10.25Tufts University1.443.6%1st Place
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7.48Cornell University1.688.1%1st Place
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11.4Fordham University1.132.0%1st Place
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10.13Boston University1.143.9%1st Place
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11.34Old Dominion University0.953.0%1st Place
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13.72Texas A&M University0.201.5%1st Place
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9.65North Carolina State University1.264.5%1st Place
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14.21Connecticut College0.191.1%1st Place
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13.57Salve Regina University0.831.2%1st Place
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10.43University of Hawaii0.993.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 19.9% | 17.9% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 10.1% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Heather Kerns | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Grace Squires | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Emily Bornarth | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Chloe Holder | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 2.5% |
| J.J. Smith | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 6.2% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 2.9% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 6.0% |
| Hanna Progelhof | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 14.7% | 22.9% |
| Olivia Sowa | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.0% |
| Miya Preyer | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 11.7% | 16.5% | 28.1% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 11.6% | 15.8% | 21.2% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.