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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.43+2.29vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.67-0.12vs Predicted
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3William and Mary0.36+1.84vs Predicted
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4Queen's University0.38+0.82vs Predicted
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5Penn State University-0.01+0.38vs Predicted
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6Princeton University0.09-0.78vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.97-4.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.29Fordham University1.430.1%1st Place
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1.88George Washington University2.670.5%1st Place
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4.84William and Mary0.360.1%1st Place
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4.82Queen's University0.380.0%1st Place
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5.38Penn State University-0.010.0%1st Place
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5.22Princeton University0.090.0%1st Place
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2.57Cornell University1.970.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madeleine Sims | 14.3% | 20.8% | 21.2% | 20.3% | 14.2% | 6.8% | 2.4% |
| Hannah McNomee | 46.8% | 30.4% | 14.4% | 6.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Kaitlynn Menoche | 5.0% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 17.2% | 20.7% | 23.8% | 17.5% |
| Joy MacDonald | 3.9% | 6.0% | 13.3% | 15.0% | 21.8% | 22.4% | 17.6% |
| Eliza Crawford | 2.3% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 12.9% | 16.7% | 23.7% | 32.4% |
| Sarah Gross | 3.1% | 4.7% | 9.0% | 13.7% | 19.1% | 21.0% | 29.4% |
| Quinn Howes | 24.6% | 27.6% | 24.8% | 14.8% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.