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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.61+3.50vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.04+4.56vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University-1.38+5.86vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+5.20vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.13+3.62vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.54+3.36vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.45+3.56vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.60+0.65vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin0.70+3.44vs Predicted
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10George Washington University0.96+1.40vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.88+1.27vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.99-1.58vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.07-4.29vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.10-6.64vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.18-3.96vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.31-3.58vs Predicted
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17Boston College2.56-10.73vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University0.62-5.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.5Stanford University2.6117.4%1st Place
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6.56U. S. Naval Academy2.0410.7%1st Place
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8.86Jacksonville University-1.385.1%1st Place
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9.2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.765.1%1st Place
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8.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.136.0%1st Place
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9.36University of South Florida1.544.2%1st Place
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10.56University of Pennsylvania1.453.4%1st Place
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8.65University of South Florida1.605.3%1st Place
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12.44University of Wisconsin0.702.1%1st Place
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11.4George Washington University0.963.3%1st Place
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12.27University of Rhode Island0.882.5%1st Place
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10.42University of Rhode Island0.994.3%1st Place
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8.71Bowdoin College2.076.2%1st Place
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7.36Dartmouth College2.107.6%1st Place
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11.04Northeastern University1.183.5%1st Place
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12.42University of Vermont1.312.0%1st Place
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6.27Boston College2.568.8%1st Place
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12.36Roger Williams University0.622.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 17.4% | 16.2% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 10.7% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Emily Allen | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Madison Bashaw | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.4% |
| Dana Haig | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Eden Nykamp | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| Madeleine Rice | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Mary Castellini | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 17.6% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.2% |
| Molly Coghlin | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 13.5% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 4.8% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Sarah Young | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.3% |
| Grace Gear | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 16.4% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 13.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.