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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.43+2.31vs Predicted
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2Penn State University-0.01+3.30vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.67-1.17vs Predicted
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4Queen's University0.38+0.83vs Predicted
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5Princeton University0.09+0.29vs Predicted
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6William and Mary0.36-1.13vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.97-4.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.31Fordham University1.430.1%1st Place
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5.3Penn State University-0.010.0%1st Place
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1.83George Washington University2.670.5%1st Place
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4.83Queen's University0.380.0%1st Place
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5.29Princeton University0.090.0%1st Place
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4.87William and Mary0.360.0%1st Place
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2.55Cornell University1.970.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madeleine Sims | 13.8% | 19.1% | 24.1% | 19.1% | 15.4% | 5.9% | 2.6% |
| Eliza Crawford | 2.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 13.8% | 16.1% | 25.1% | 30.1% |
| Hannah McNomee | 46.8% | 31.4% | 15.7% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Joy MacDonald | 3.5% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 17.9% | 20.8% | 22.8% | 17.4% |
| Sarah Gross | 2.6% | 4.6% | 8.2% | 12.7% | 19.0% | 23.1% | 29.8% |
| Kaitlynn Menoche | 3.9% | 6.1% | 10.5% | 16.9% | 22.7% | 20.7% | 19.2% |
| Quinn Howes | 26.7% | 25.7% | 24.8% | 15.2% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.