← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Fordham University1.43+2.33vs Predicted
-
2Cornell University1.97+0.59vs Predicted
-
3George Washington University2.67-1.18vs Predicted
-
4Princeton University0.09+1.29vs Predicted
-
5William and Mary0.36-0.11vs Predicted
-
6Queen's University0.38-1.17vs Predicted
-
7Penn State University-0.01-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.33Fordham University1.430.1%1st Place
-
2.59Cornell University1.970.2%1st Place
-
1.82George Washington University2.670.5%1st Place
-
5.29Princeton University0.090.0%1st Place
-
4.89William and Mary0.360.0%1st Place
-
4.83Queen's University0.380.0%1st Place
-
5.25Penn State University-0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madeleine Sims | 13.9% | 19.2% | 23.8% | 19.0% | 14.6% | 6.7% | 2.8% |
| Quinn Howes | 23.2% | 29.1% | 25.0% | 13.7% | 6.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Hannah McNomee | 48.3% | 31.0% | 13.2% | 5.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Gross | 2.8% | 4.4% | 8.1% | 13.2% | 17.8% | 24.9% | 28.8% |
| Kaitlynn Menoche | 4.0% | 5.7% | 10.1% | 17.1% | 22.9% | 20.5% | 19.7% |
| Joy MacDonald | 4.2% | 5.4% | 11.7% | 18.4% | 21.4% | 20.2% | 18.7% |
| Eliza Crawford | 3.6% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 12.9% | 15.6% | 25.2% | 29.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.