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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.20+5.20vs Predicted
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2Harvard University1.90+5.28vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.21+5.43vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+4.15vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.45+4.04vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.68+1.56vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University0.83+6.69vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.42-3.90vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+0.50vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University0.95+1.33vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.14-0.84vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.26-2.05vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii0.99-2.70vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.44-3.72vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.04-8.67vs Predicted
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16Texas A&M University0.20-2.29vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College0.19-3.06vs Predicted
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18Fordham University1.13-6.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.2Georgetown University2.208.9%1st Place
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7.28Harvard University1.907.8%1st Place
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8.43Tulane University2.216.2%1st Place
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8.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.035.7%1st Place
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9.04College of Charleston1.454.0%1st Place
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7.56Cornell University1.687.2%1st Place
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13.69Salve Regina University0.831.6%1st Place
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4.1Yale University2.4219.9%1st Place
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9.5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.974.4%1st Place
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11.33Old Dominion University0.952.9%1st Place
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10.16Boston University1.143.1%1st Place
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9.95North Carolina State University1.264.3%1st Place
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10.3University of Hawaii0.993.4%1st Place
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10.28Tufts University1.443.6%1st Place
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6.33Brown University2.049.8%1st Place
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13.71Texas A&M University0.201.6%1st Place
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13.94Connecticut College0.191.8%1st Place
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11.04Fordham University1.133.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 8.9% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Emily Bornarth | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Grace Squires | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| J.J. Smith | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 15.2% | 21.4% |
| Carmen Cowles | 19.9% | 17.4% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Heather Kerns | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 5.8% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 2.9% |
| Olivia Sowa | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 2.4% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% |
| Chloe Holder | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.0% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Hanna Progelhof | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 15.7% | 22.6% |
| Miya Preyer | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 16.2% | 27.3% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 5.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.