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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.30+2.07vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.40+3.46vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.84+3.91vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.44+5.77vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.87+1.51vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.72+1.56vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+0.14vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.22-0.15vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy0.52+2.36vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University0.82+0.42vs Predicted
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11George Washington University0.93-0.96vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland0.61-1.40vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin0.36-1.38vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.48-2.14vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island0.30-2.65vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University0.49-4.23vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College-0.17-3.24vs Predicted
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18University of Hawaii0.12-5.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.07Stanford University3.3027.4%1st Place
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5.46Boston College2.4010.8%1st Place
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6.91Bowdoin College1.847.6%1st Place
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9.77University of South Florida1.443.2%1st Place
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6.51Dartmouth College1.878.1%1st Place
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7.56University of Pennsylvania1.727.0%1st Place
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7.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.636.7%1st Place
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7.85Northeastern University1.225.7%1st Place
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11.36U. S. Naval Academy0.522.4%1st Place
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10.42Jacksonville University0.822.6%1st Place
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10.04George Washington University0.933.9%1st Place
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10.6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.612.3%1st Place
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11.62University of Wisconsin0.362.5%1st Place
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11.86University of Vermont0.482.2%1st Place
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12.35University of Rhode Island0.302.6%1st Place
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11.77Roger Williams University0.491.8%1st Place
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13.76Eckerd College-0.171.5%1st Place
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12.94University of Hawaii0.121.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 27.4% | 22.2% | 17.2% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 10.8% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Sydney Monahan | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% |
| Gray Hemans | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Torrey Chisari | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 5.8% |
| Agija Elerte | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.5% |
| Avery Canavan | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.9% |
| Lily Flack | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 3.5% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.4% |
| Abbie Chipps | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 12.2% |
| Katherine McGagh | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 8.1% |
| Lily Schwartz | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 14.5% | 24.4% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 18.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.