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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.97+1.64vs Predicted
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2William and Mary0.36+2.82vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.67-1.17vs Predicted
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4Queen's University0.38+0.87vs Predicted
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5Princeton University0.09+0.29vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-0.01-0.64vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.43-3.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.64Cornell University1.970.2%1st Place
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4.82William and Mary0.360.0%1st Place
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1.83George Washington University2.670.5%1st Place
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4.87Queen's University0.380.0%1st Place
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5.29Princeton University0.090.0%1st Place
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5.36Penn State University-0.010.0%1st Place
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3.19Fordham University1.430.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinn Howes | 23.5% | 28.0% | 23.5% | 15.2% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Kaitlynn Menoche | 4.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 18.3% | 21.2% | 21.7% | 18.2% |
| Hannah McNomee | 46.3% | 32.3% | 15.2% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Joy MacDonald | 3.3% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 15.7% | 22.8% | 23.3% | 17.3% |
| Sarah Gross | 2.9% | 4.3% | 8.4% | 12.7% | 17.8% | 24.7% | 29.2% |
| Eliza Crawford | 2.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 13.8% | 17.6% | 22.0% | 32.7% |
| Madeleine Sims | 16.8% | 16.4% | 27.0% | 19.9% | 12.6% | 5.4% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.