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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.81+5.11vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.55+2.05vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.37+5.39vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.80+5.63vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.69+5.44vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.79+0.28vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.09+1.76vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+0.32vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii1.09+0.23vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56+1.61vs Predicted
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11Tulane University1.73-4.08vs Predicted
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12Harvard University1.79-5.08vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University0.68-1.83vs Predicted
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14Fordham University0.54-1.88vs Predicted
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15Boston University-0.05-1.34vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.34-3.02vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University0.97-5.21vs Predicted
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18Texas A&M University0.24-5.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.11College of Charleston1.8110.2%1st Place
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4.05Yale University2.5520.1%1st Place
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8.39Georgetown University1.375.7%1st Place
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9.63Brown University1.804.5%1st Place
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10.44Tufts University0.693.3%1st Place
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6.28Cornell University1.798.8%1st Place
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8.76North Carolina State University1.095.5%1st Place
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8.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.605.7%1st Place
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9.23University of Hawaii1.094.2%1st Place
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11.61Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.562.6%1st Place
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6.92Tulane University1.737.8%1st Place
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6.92Harvard University1.798.5%1st Place
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11.17Old Dominion University0.682.9%1st Place
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12.12Fordham University0.542.3%1st Place
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13.66Boston University-0.052.1%1st Place
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12.98Connecticut College0.342.1%1st Place
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11.79Salve Regina University0.972.6%1st Place
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12.63Texas A&M University0.241.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Tallman | 10.2% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 20.1% | 16.9% | 15.3% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Riley Kloc | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Samantha Jensen | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% |
| Sophia Devling | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Emma Snead | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Morgan Carew | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Brook Wood | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.0% |
| Caroline Benson | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Marbella Marlo | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Megan Geith | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 5.9% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 2.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 11.8% |
| Madeline Stull | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 14.6% | 23.2% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 13.7% | 17.5% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 8.7% |
| Kate Hennig | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 13.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.