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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University4.25+5.46vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.53+10.76vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.43+2.98vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.62+5.01vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University4.31+1.29vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53+3.51vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.19-0.17vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.62+0.82vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College4.05-1.53vs Predicted
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10Harvard University4.17-3.25vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University3.92-3.01vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.70-3.31vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-4.94vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College3.68-5.13vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire1.81-0.42vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut2.62-3.41vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.70-4.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.46Brown University4.250.1%1st Place
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12.76Boston University2.530.0%1st Place
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5.98Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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9.01University of Rhode Island3.620.1%1st Place
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6.29Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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9.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.0%1st Place
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6.83Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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8.82University of Vermont3.620.1%1st Place
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7.47Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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6.75Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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7.99Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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8.69Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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8.87Connecticut College3.680.0%1st Place
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14.58University of New Hampshire1.810.0%1st Place
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12.59University of Connecticut2.620.0%1st Place
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12.35Bowdoin College2.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Brown | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Mathew Renik | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 13.4% | 20.4% | 16.1% |
| Anne Haeger | 11.5% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Carmody | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| Sean Bouchard | 10.4% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 2.5% |
| Joseph Morris | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Coleman Bowen | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 1.7% |
| Matthew Wefer | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| John Stokes | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Massimo Soriano | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 0.9% |
| Andrew Sommer | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Maggie Shea | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Neal Drake | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 16.7% | 45.3% |
| Peter Giuliano | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 14.5% | 16.1% | 14.3% |
| Billy Rohman | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 14.2% | 16.3% | 13.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.