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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.30+1.95vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.72+5.52vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.84+4.13vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.40+1.35vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.87+1.56vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy0.52+5.27vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-0.09vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin0.36+3.71vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.48+2.96vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.44-0.09vs Predicted
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11George Washington University0.93-0.92vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.22-4.14vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University0.49-1.32vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland0.61-3.65vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island0.30-2.56vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University0.82-5.54vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College-0.17-3.18vs Predicted
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18University of Hawaii0.12-4.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.95Stanford University3.3029.9%1st Place
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7.52University of Pennsylvania1.725.9%1st Place
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7.13Bowdoin College1.846.3%1st Place
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5.35Boston College2.4012.2%1st Place
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6.56Dartmouth College1.876.7%1st Place
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11.27U. S. Naval Academy0.522.8%1st Place
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6.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.637.6%1st Place
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11.71University of Wisconsin0.362.4%1st Place
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11.96University of Vermont0.482.2%1st Place
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9.91University of South Florida1.442.8%1st Place
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10.08George Washington University0.933.5%1st Place
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7.86Northeastern University1.225.1%1st Place
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11.68Roger Williams University0.492.0%1st Place
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10.35St. Mary's College of Maryland0.613.2%1st Place
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12.44University of Rhode Island0.301.6%1st Place
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10.46Jacksonville University0.822.9%1st Place
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13.82Eckerd College-0.171.8%1st Place
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13.04University of Hawaii0.121.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 29.9% | 22.1% | 15.3% | 13.2% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Torrey Chisari | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Lauren Russler | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 12.2% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gray Hemans | 6.7% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 5.5% |
| Lucy Brock | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.1% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 8.8% |
| Sydney Monahan | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Avery Canavan | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% |
| Lily Flack | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 3.4% |
| Abbie Chipps | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 13.1% |
| Agija Elerte | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% |
| Lily Schwartz | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 14.8% | 26.2% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 17.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.