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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.81+5.11vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.09+7.02vs Predicted
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3Tulane University1.73+3.50vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+4.17vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.55-0.88vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.79+0.37vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University1.37+1.33vs Predicted
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8Fordham University0.54+4.20vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.69+1.35vs Predicted
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10Boston University-0.05+3.74vs Predicted
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11Harvard University1.79-4.11vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University0.68-0.82vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.80-3.22vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii1.09-4.70vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.97-3.30vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56-4.34vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College0.34-3.94vs Predicted
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18Texas A&M University0.24-5.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.11College of Charleston1.8110.4%1st Place
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9.02North Carolina State University1.095.1%1st Place
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6.5Tulane University1.738.8%1st Place
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8.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.606.4%1st Place
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4.12Yale University2.5520.3%1st Place
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6.37Cornell University1.799.4%1st Place
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8.33Georgetown University1.374.7%1st Place
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12.2Fordham University0.542.1%1st Place
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10.35Tufts University0.693.5%1st Place
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13.74Boston University-0.051.2%1st Place
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6.89Harvard University1.798.9%1st Place
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11.18Old Dominion University0.682.2%1st Place
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9.78Brown University1.803.2%1st Place
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9.3University of Hawaii1.094.9%1st Place
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11.7Salve Regina University0.972.9%1st Place
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11.66Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.562.5%1st Place
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13.06Connecticut College0.341.5%1st Place
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12.54Texas A&M University0.241.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Tallman | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Caroline Benson | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emma Snead | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Emma Cowles | 20.3% | 16.3% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Devling | 9.4% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Riley Kloc | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 11.2% |
| Samantha Jensen | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.4% |
| Madeline Stull | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 14.3% | 24.9% |
| Marbella Marlo | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Megan Geith | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Morgan Carew | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 8.9% |
| Brook Wood | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.2% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 17.3% |
| Kate Hennig | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 12.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.