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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Auburn University1.12+2.11vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.06-0.58vs Predicted
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3Clemson University1.41-0.29vs Predicted
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4Clemson University-0.34+0.71vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.37-0.95vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-0.58-1.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.11Auburn University1.120.1%1st Place
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1.42College of Charleston3.060.7%1st Place
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2.71Clemson University1.410.1%1st Place
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4.71Clemson University-0.340.0%1st Place
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4.05Jacksonville University0.370.0%1st Place
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5.0North Carolina State University-0.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Hodges | 10.4% | 22.7% | 30.4% | 22.3% | 10.7% | 3.5% |
| Reed Baldridge | 68.1% | 22.8% | 7.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hugh Forester-Bennett | 14.6% | 33.7% | 25.8% | 18.9% | 5.6% | 1.4% |
| William Duncan | 2.0% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 17.2% | 32.0% | 33.3% |
| Daniel Moore | 3.6% | 10.4% | 19.6% | 26.4% | 24.1% | 15.9% |
| John MacAdam | 1.3% | 3.9% | 7.3% | 14.1% | 27.5% | 45.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.