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📊 Prediction Accuracy

83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6
Reed Baldridge 68.2% 22.7% 7.1% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Samuel Hodges 9.6% 25.8% 27.0% 23.5% 11.2% 2.9%
William Duncan 3.2% 5.9% 9.6% 16.1% 31.6% 33.6%
Hugh Forester-Bennett 13.1% 30.2% 30.7% 18.6% 6.0% 1.4%
John MacAdam 1.4% 4.6% 6.1% 12.7% 24.9% 50.3%
Daniel Moore 4.5% 10.8% 19.5% 27.4% 26.0% 11.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.