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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.40+4.27vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.84+4.76vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+4.02vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.30-0.98vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.72+2.37vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.61+4.61vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.44+2.52vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.48+3.80vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College1.87-2.34vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.22-2.31vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College-0.17+2.79vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University0.49-0.59vs Predicted
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13George Washington University0.93-3.19vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin0.36-2.30vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island0.30-2.53vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy0.52-4.74vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University0.48-5.32vs Predicted
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18University of Hawaii0.12-4.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.27Boston College2.4012.2%1st Place
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6.76Bowdoin College1.847.2%1st Place
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7.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.636.9%1st Place
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3.02Stanford University3.3028.3%1st Place
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7.37University of Pennsylvania1.726.2%1st Place
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10.61St. Mary's College of Maryland0.612.6%1st Place
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9.52University of South Florida1.443.5%1st Place
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11.8University of Vermont0.481.6%1st Place
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6.66Dartmouth College1.877.3%1st Place
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7.69Northeastern University1.227.0%1st Place
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13.79Eckerd College-0.171.3%1st Place
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11.41Roger Williams University0.492.4%1st Place
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9.81George Washington University0.933.4%1st Place
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11.7University of Wisconsin0.362.3%1st Place
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12.47University of Rhode Island0.301.4%1st Place
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11.26U. S. Naval Academy0.522.7%1st Place
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11.68Jacksonville University0.482.1%1st Place
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13.16University of Hawaii0.121.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michaela O'Brien | 12.2% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 28.3% | 23.2% | 16.7% | 11.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Torrey Chisari | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Lily Flack | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 3.9% |
| Sydney Monahan | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 8.6% |
| Gray Hemans | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Lily Schwartz | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 23.6% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 6.5% |
| Avery Canavan | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% |
| Abbie Chipps | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 11.7% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.5% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.6% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 17.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.