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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.81+5.14vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.69+8.38vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.37+5.34vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.55+0.24vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.10+0.67vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+2.42vs Predicted
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7Tulane University1.73-0.22vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.97+3.53vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.80+0.82vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University1.09-0.98vs Predicted
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11Cornell University1.79-4.41vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University0.68-0.60vs Predicted
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13Texas A&M University0.24-0.42vs Predicted
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14Fordham University0.54-1.78vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56-3.30vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.34-2.95vs Predicted
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17University of Hawaii1.09-7.77vs Predicted
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18Boston University-0.05-4.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.14College of Charleston1.819.1%1st Place
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10.38Tufts University0.693.2%1st Place
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8.34Georgetown University1.375.2%1st Place
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4.24Yale University2.5518.7%1st Place
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5.67Harvard University2.1012.6%1st Place
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8.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.605.2%1st Place
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6.78Tulane University1.738.8%1st Place
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11.53Salve Regina University0.973.0%1st Place
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9.82Brown University1.803.6%1st Place
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9.02North Carolina State University1.094.5%1st Place
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6.59Cornell University1.798.9%1st Place
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11.4Old Dominion University0.682.5%1st Place
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12.58Texas A&M University0.242.1%1st Place
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12.22Fordham University0.542.8%1st Place
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11.7Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.562.5%1st Place
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13.05Connecticut College0.341.5%1st Place
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9.23University of Hawaii1.094.5%1st Place
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13.89Boston University-0.051.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Tallman | 9.1% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Samantha Jensen | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.1% |
| Riley Kloc | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Emma Cowles | 18.7% | 15.7% | 15.2% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 12.6% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Emma Snead | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Caroline Benson | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.4% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Sophia Devling | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Megan Geith | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% |
| Kate Hennig | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 12.2% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 11.0% |
| Brook Wood | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 8.5% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 14.3% | 17.2% |
| Morgan Carew | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Madeline Stull | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 14.2% | 25.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.