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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.06+0.39vs Predicted
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2Clemson University1.19+0.94vs Predicted
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3Auburn University1.12-0.01vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.37-0.09vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-0.58+0.02vs Predicted
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6Clemson University-0.34-1.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.39College of Charleston3.060.7%1st Place
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2.94Clemson University1.190.1%1st Place
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2.99Auburn University1.120.1%1st Place
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3.91Jacksonville University0.370.0%1st Place
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5.02North Carolina State University-0.580.0%1st Place
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4.75Clemson University-0.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reed Baldridge | 71.1% | 20.3% | 7.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Duckworth | 10.5% | 30.2% | 27.9% | 19.5% | 9.7% | 2.2% |
| Samuel Hodges | 10.8% | 26.8% | 27.8% | 23.6% | 9.2% | 1.8% |
| Daniel Moore | 4.0% | 12.3% | 20.0% | 27.6% | 24.5% | 11.6% |
| John MacAdam | 1.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 11.4% | 26.9% | 48.3% |
| William Duncan | 2.2% | 5.0% | 10.5% | 16.7% | 29.5% | 36.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.