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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College1.84+5.85vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+4.90vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.30-0.07vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University0.49+7.61vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin0.36+6.54vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College1.87+0.52vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.30+5.25vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.22-0.26vs Predicted
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9George Washington University0.93+0.90vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.40-4.60vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University0.48+0.73vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland0.61-1.39vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.44-3.31vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.48-2.23vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii0.12-1.92vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College-0.17-2.18vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy0.52-5.63vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania1.72-10.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.85Bowdoin College1.847.4%1st Place
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6.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.636.5%1st Place
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2.93Stanford University3.3030.4%1st Place
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11.61Roger Williams University0.492.1%1st Place
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11.54University of Wisconsin0.362.8%1st Place
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6.52Dartmouth College1.878.0%1st Place
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12.25University of Rhode Island0.301.7%1st Place
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7.74Northeastern University1.225.7%1st Place
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9.9George Washington University0.933.2%1st Place
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5.4Boston College2.4010.9%1st Place
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11.73Jacksonville University0.482.1%1st Place
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10.61St. Mary's College of Maryland0.613.2%1st Place
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9.69University of South Florida1.443.7%1st Place
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11.77University of Vermont0.481.8%1st Place
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13.08University of Hawaii0.120.9%1st Place
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13.82Eckerd College-0.171.5%1st Place
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11.37U. S. Naval Academy0.522.1%1st Place
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7.28University of Pennsylvania1.725.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Russler | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 30.4% | 21.2% | 17.2% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.2% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% |
| Gray Hemans | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Abbie Chipps | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 12.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Avery Canavan | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 10.9% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 8.6% |
| Lily Flack | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% |
| Sydney Monahan | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.2% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 7.9% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 0.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 16.4% |
| Lily Schwartz | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 23.4% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.3% |
| Torrey Chisari | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.