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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.06+0.38vs Predicted
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2Auburn University1.12+1.02vs Predicted
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3Clemson University1.19-0.08vs Predicted
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4Clemson University-0.34+0.69vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.37-0.99vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-0.58-1.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.38College of Charleston3.060.7%1st Place
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3.02Auburn University1.120.1%1st Place
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2.92Clemson University1.190.1%1st Place
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4.69Clemson University-0.340.0%1st Place
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4.01Jacksonville University0.370.0%1st Place
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4.97North Carolina State University-0.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reed Baldridge | 72.1% | 19.3% | 7.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Hodges | 9.8% | 29.0% | 28.5% | 17.8% | 11.6% | 3.3% |
| Samuel Duckworth | 11.9% | 27.7% | 29.2% | 21.0% | 8.5% | 1.7% |
| William Duncan | 1.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 19.2% | 30.5% | 33.2% |
| Daniel Moore | 3.0% | 13.2% | 18.4% | 26.5% | 22.8% | 16.1% |
| John MacAdam | 1.5% | 3.8% | 8.2% | 14.4% | 26.4% | 45.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.