← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston1.81+5.15vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University1.37+6.52vs Predicted
-
3Yale University2.55+1.34vs Predicted
-
4Brown University1.80+5.78vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+3.30vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University2.10-0.31vs Predicted
-
7Tulane University1.73-0.25vs Predicted
-
8Cornell University1.79-1.38vs Predicted
-
9Old Dominion University0.68+2.18vs Predicted
-
10University of Hawaii1.09-0.96vs Predicted
-
11North Carolina State University1.09-2.04vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University0.69-1.63vs Predicted
-
13Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56-1.39vs Predicted
-
14Salve Regina University0.97-2.19vs Predicted
-
15Boston University-0.05-1.00vs Predicted
-
16Fordham University0.54-3.52vs Predicted
-
17Texas A&M University0.24-4.35vs Predicted
-
18Connecticut College0.34-5.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.15College of Charleston1.8110.3%1st Place
-
8.52Georgetown University1.375.2%1st Place
-
4.34Yale University2.5517.8%1st Place
-
9.78Brown University1.803.6%1st Place
-
8.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.605.5%1st Place
-
5.69Harvard University2.1010.8%1st Place
-
6.75Tulane University1.7310.5%1st Place
-
6.62Cornell University1.799.2%1st Place
-
11.18Old Dominion University0.682.9%1st Place
-
9.04University of Hawaii1.094.8%1st Place
-
8.96North Carolina State University1.094.5%1st Place
-
10.37Tufts University0.693.2%1st Place
-
11.61Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.563.1%1st Place
-
11.81Salve Regina University0.972.6%1st Place
-
14.0Boston University-0.050.6%1st Place
-
12.48Fordham University0.541.6%1st Place
-
12.65Texas A&M University0.241.9%1st Place
-
12.74Connecticut College0.341.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Tallman | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Riley Kloc | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Emma Cowles | 17.8% | 16.0% | 15.2% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.0% |
| Emma Snead | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Cordelia Burn | 10.8% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Benson | 10.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Sophia Devling | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Megan Geith | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% |
| Morgan Carew | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Samantha Jensen | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 3.4% |
| Brook Wood | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 7.9% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 8.9% |
| Madeline Stull | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 14.9% | 25.4% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 11.9% |
| Kate Hennig | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 13.7% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 15.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.