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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.06+0.39vs Predicted
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2Clemson University1.19+0.94vs Predicted
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3Auburn University1.12-0.01vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.37-0.09vs Predicted
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5Clemson University-0.34-0.23vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-0.58-1.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.39College of Charleston3.060.7%1st Place
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2.94Clemson University1.190.1%1st Place
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2.99Auburn University1.120.1%1st Place
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3.91Jacksonville University0.370.0%1st Place
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4.77Clemson University-0.340.0%1st Place
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5.0North Carolina State University-0.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reed Baldridge | 71.0% | 20.6% | 7.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Duckworth | 10.5% | 30.0% | 28.9% | 18.0% | 10.4% | 2.2% |
| Samuel Hodges | 11.0% | 26.6% | 27.8% | 23.6% | 9.0% | 2.0% |
| Daniel Moore | 4.0% | 12.4% | 20.1% | 26.8% | 25.4% | 11.3% |
| William Duncan | 2.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 16.7% | 29.9% | 36.9% |
| John MacAdam | 1.5% | 3.8% | 8.3% | 13.7% | 25.1% | 47.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.