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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.22+6.51vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.40+3.41vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+2.96vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.30-1.01vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.84+1.83vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.72+1.37vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College1.87-0.25vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy0.52+3.14vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University0.49+2.70vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.44-0.39vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin0.36+0.61vs Predicted
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12George Washington University0.93-2.08vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont-0.13+0.12vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University0.48-2.19vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island0.30-2.86vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland0.61-5.40vs Predicted
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17University of Hawaii0.12-4.11vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College-0.17-4.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.51Northeastern University1.226.8%1st Place
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5.41Boston College2.4011.1%1st Place
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5.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.779.2%1st Place
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2.99Stanford University3.3029.3%1st Place
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6.83Bowdoin College1.847.2%1st Place
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7.37University of Pennsylvania1.726.5%1st Place
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6.75Dartmouth College1.878.1%1st Place
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11.14U. S. Naval Academy0.521.8%1st Place
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11.7Roger Williams University0.491.9%1st Place
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9.61University of South Florida1.443.5%1st Place
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11.61University of Wisconsin0.362.1%1st Place
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9.92George Washington University0.932.9%1st Place
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13.12University of Vermont-0.131.5%1st Place
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11.81Jacksonville University0.481.6%1st Place
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12.14University of Rhode Island0.301.8%1st Place
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10.6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.612.3%1st Place
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12.89University of Hawaii0.121.2%1st Place
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13.65Eckerd College-0.171.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Ermlich | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 11.1% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 29.3% | 23.8% | 14.7% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Torrey Chisari | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Gray Hemans | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.0% |
| Katherine McGagh | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 6.6% |
| Sydney Monahan | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.7% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 17.8% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 7.2% |
| Abbie Chipps | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.1% |
| Lily Flack | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.9% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 14.8% |
| Lily Schwartz | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 14.8% | 23.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.