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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.06+0.38vs Predicted
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2Clemson University-0.34+2.70vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.37+0.89vs Predicted
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4Auburn University1.12-1.00vs Predicted
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5Clemson University1.19-1.98vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-0.58-0.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.38College of Charleston3.060.7%1st Place
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4.7Clemson University-0.340.0%1st Place
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3.89Jacksonville University0.370.1%1st Place
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3.0Auburn University1.120.1%1st Place
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3.02Clemson University1.190.1%1st Place
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5.01North Carolina State University-0.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reed Baldridge | 70.7% | 22.8% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Duncan | 1.7% | 6.2% | 10.7% | 17.2% | 30.3% | 33.9% |
| Daniel Moore | 5.4% | 12.4% | 18.6% | 26.9% | 24.7% | 12.0% |
| Samuel Hodges | 10.8% | 25.6% | 29.9% | 21.6% | 10.2% | 1.9% |
| Samuel Duckworth | 9.9% | 28.9% | 27.6% | 19.2% | 11.3% | 3.1% |
| John MacAdam | 1.5% | 4.1% | 8.2% | 13.8% | 23.3% | 49.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.