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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.69+9.23vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University1.37+6.23vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.80+6.62vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.55+0.09vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+3.15vs Predicted
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6Fordham University0.54+6.38vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.88+0.37vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College0.52+4.36vs Predicted
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9Tulane University1.73-2.29vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91+0.37vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University0.68+0.31vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston1.26-3.49vs Predicted
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13Boston University-0.05+0.85vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University1.09-5.19vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.10-9.58vs Predicted
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16Texas A&M University0.24-3.45vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University0.97-5.16vs Predicted
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18University of Hawaii1.09-8.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.23Tufts University0.694.4%1st Place
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8.23Georgetown University1.376.5%1st Place
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9.62Brown University1.804.4%1st Place
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4.09Yale University2.5518.6%1st Place
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8.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.604.9%1st Place
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12.38Fordham University0.542.0%1st Place
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7.37Cornell University1.887.4%1st Place
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12.36Connecticut College0.522.4%1st Place
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6.71Tulane University1.738.4%1st Place
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10.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.913.5%1st Place
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11.31Old Dominion University0.682.4%1st Place
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8.51College of Charleston1.265.2%1st Place
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13.85Boston University-0.051.5%1st Place
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8.81North Carolina State University1.095.3%1st Place
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5.42Harvard University2.1013.7%1st Place
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12.55Texas A&M University0.242.1%1st Place
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11.84Salve Regina University0.972.4%1st Place
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9.21University of Hawaii1.094.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samantha Jensen | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.0% |
| Riley Kloc | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% |
| Emma Cowles | 18.6% | 18.3% | 14.8% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Snead | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 11.9% |
| Meredith Moran | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 11.2% |
| Caroline Benson | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% |
| Megan Geith | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% |
| Emily Alfortish | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Madeline Stull | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 28.5% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Cordelia Burn | 13.7% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kate Hennig | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 12.2% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 10.0% |
| Morgan Carew | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.