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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.06+0.41vs Predicted
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2Clemson University1.41+0.75vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.37+0.93vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University-0.58+0.98vs Predicted
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5Clemson University-0.34-0.18vs Predicted
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6Auburn University1.12-2.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.41College of Charleston3.060.7%1st Place
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2.75Clemson University1.410.1%1st Place
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3.93Jacksonville University0.370.1%1st Place
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4.98North Carolina State University-0.580.0%1st Place
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4.82Clemson University-0.340.0%1st Place
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3.12Auburn University1.120.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reed Baldridge | 69.3% | 21.7% | 7.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hugh Forester-Bennett | 13.9% | 32.0% | 28.8% | 18.2% | 4.8% | 2.3% |
| Daniel Moore | 5.1% | 10.4% | 20.5% | 25.7% | 27.2% | 11.1% |
| John MacAdam | 1.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 14.7% | 26.6% | 45.9% |
| William Duncan | 1.7% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 15.3% | 30.2% | 38.5% |
| Samuel Hodges | 8.7% | 24.5% | 28.8% | 24.7% | 11.1% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.