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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.30+1.92vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+3.84vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.40+2.39vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.84+2.97vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.72+2.47vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.22+1.75vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College1.87-0.46vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University0.48+3.73vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland0.61+1.70vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.44-0.31vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont-0.13+1.95vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin0.36-0.38vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University0.49-1.31vs Predicted
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14George Washington University0.93-4.22vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy0.52-3.79vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island0.30-3.77vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College-0.17-3.41vs Predicted
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18University of Hawaii0.12-5.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.92Stanford University3.3031.1%1st Place
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5.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.779.2%1st Place
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5.39Boston College2.409.8%1st Place
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6.97Bowdoin College1.846.6%1st Place
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7.47University of Pennsylvania1.725.9%1st Place
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7.75Northeastern University1.225.9%1st Place
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6.54Dartmouth College1.878.2%1st Place
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11.73Jacksonville University0.482.4%1st Place
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10.7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.612.6%1st Place
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9.69University of South Florida1.443.0%1st Place
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12.95University of Vermont-0.131.4%1st Place
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11.62University of Wisconsin0.361.8%1st Place
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11.69Roger Williams University0.491.4%1st Place
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9.78George Washington University0.933.3%1st Place
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11.21U. S. Naval Academy0.522.2%1st Place
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12.23University of Rhode Island0.302.3%1st Place
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13.59Eckerd College-0.171.5%1st Place
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12.91University of Hawaii0.121.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 31.1% | 20.7% | 16.9% | 11.9% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 9.2% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 9.8% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Torrey Chisari | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Gray Hemans | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 7.2% |
| Lily Flack | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.6% |
| Sydney Monahan | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 13.8% | 16.0% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% |
| Katherine McGagh | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 6.5% |
| Avery Canavan | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 5.0% |
| Abbie Chipps | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 11.4% |
| Lily Schwartz | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 14.0% | 21.9% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 16.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.