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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.69+9.47vs Predicted
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2Tulane University1.73+4.60vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.55+1.03vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.88+3.41vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+3.24vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.37+2.18vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston1.26+1.58vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.97+3.62vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University0.68+2.31vs Predicted
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10Fordham University0.54+2.28vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii1.09-1.70vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.10-6.58vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University1.09-4.13vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.80-4.35vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.52-2.58vs Predicted
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16Boston University-0.05-2.15vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University0.24-4.55vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-7.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.47Tufts University0.694.1%1st Place
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6.6Tulane University1.738.8%1st Place
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4.03Yale University2.5521.0%1st Place
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7.41Cornell University1.888.2%1st Place
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8.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.605.5%1st Place
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8.18Georgetown University1.375.0%1st Place
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8.58College of Charleston1.264.9%1st Place
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11.62Salve Regina University0.972.3%1st Place
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11.31Old Dominion University0.682.8%1st Place
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12.28Fordham University0.542.8%1st Place
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9.3University of Hawaii1.093.6%1st Place
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5.42Harvard University2.1013.0%1st Place
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8.87North Carolina State University1.095.1%1st Place
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9.65Brown University1.804.6%1st Place
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12.42Connecticut College0.521.6%1st Place
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13.85Boston University-0.051.4%1st Place
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12.45Texas A&M University0.241.8%1st Place
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10.34Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.913.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samantha Jensen | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 4.0% |
| Caroline Benson | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Emma Cowles | 21.0% | 18.1% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Moran | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Emma Snead | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Riley Kloc | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Emily Alfortish | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.8% |
| Megan Geith | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 11.8% |
| Morgan Carew | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% |
| Cordelia Burn | 13.0% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 13.2% |
| Madeline Stull | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 13.7% | 27.5% |
| Kate Hennig | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 13.6% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.