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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University3.84+6.42vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.62+6.39vs Predicted
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3Brown University4.25+3.22vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.43+1.58vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.19+1.27vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University4.31+0.17vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.70+4.66vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.700.00vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.68+7.06vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.53+2.16vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.68-2.66vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53-3.22vs Predicted
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13Harvard University4.17-6.43vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College4.05-6.99vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire1.81-2.00vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont3.62-8.57vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut2.62-6.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.42Salve Regina University3.840.1%1st Place
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8.39University of Rhode Island3.620.1%1st Place
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6.22Brown University4.250.1%1st Place
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5.58Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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6.27Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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6.17Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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11.66Bowdoin College2.700.0%1st Place
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8.0Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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16.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.680.0%1st Place
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12.16Boston University2.530.0%1st Place
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8.34Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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8.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.1%1st Place
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6.57Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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7.01Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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14.0University of New Hampshire1.810.0%1st Place
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8.43University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
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11.93University of Connecticut2.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Clancy | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Carmody | 6.0% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| William Brown | 9.6% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Anne Haeger | 11.7% | 13.9% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Morris | 10.6% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sean Bouchard | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Billy Rohman | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 14.1% | 16.2% | 12.3% | 2.7% |
| Massimo Soriano | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Lisa Archibald | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 14.1% | 68.7% |
| Mathew Renik | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 16.0% | 15.9% | 4.2% |
| Maggie Shea | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| John Stokes | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Wefer | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Neal Drake | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 9.8% | 13.7% | 31.7% | 18.3% |
| Coleman Bowen | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Peter Giuliano | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 17.3% | 15.4% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.