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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.64+3.22vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.51+5.33vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University0.49+8.13vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.44+5.41vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.82+5.08vs Predicted
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6George Washington University0.93+3.47vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy0.52+3.70vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.61+1.96vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.72-2.15vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin0.36+1.39vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College-0.17+2.17vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii0.12+0.32vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.22-5.68vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.30-2.16vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College1.60-7.92vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.40-10.98vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-11.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.22Stanford University2.6418.5%1st Place
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7.33Bowdoin College1.517.2%1st Place
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11.13Roger Williams University0.492.8%1st Place
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9.41University of South Florida1.443.3%1st Place
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10.08Jacksonville University0.823.2%1st Place
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9.47George Washington University0.933.8%1st Place
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10.7U. S. Naval Academy0.522.9%1st Place
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9.96St. Mary's College of Maryland0.613.6%1st Place
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6.85University of Pennsylvania1.728.2%1st Place
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11.39University of Wisconsin0.362.9%1st Place
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13.17Eckerd College-0.171.6%1st Place
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12.32University of Hawaii0.122.4%1st Place
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7.32Northeastern University1.227.7%1st Place
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11.84University of Rhode Island0.301.8%1st Place
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7.08Dartmouth College1.606.5%1st Place
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5.02Boston College2.4012.8%1st Place
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5.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.7710.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hannah Freeman | 18.5% | 16.8% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Kyra Phelan | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
Katherine McGagh | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.2% |
Sydney Monahan | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.0% |
Agija Elerte | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% |
Avery Canavan | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
Aubin Hattendorf | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 7.1% |
Lily Flack | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 3.6% |
Torrey Chisari | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
Marissa Tegeder | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 9.1% |
Lily Schwartz | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 15.2% | 26.9% |
Elizabeth Fourney | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 14.8% | 17.9% |
Eva Ermlich | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
Abbie Chipps | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 13.8% |
Taylor Eastman | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
Michaela O'Brien | 12.8% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Brooke Schmelz | 10.9% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.