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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University1.73+5.77vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.81+4.16vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+5.11vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.99+2.15vs Predicted
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5Fordham University0.54+7.10vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.55-1.78vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.88+0.31vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.10-2.34vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University1.37-0.65vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii1.09-0.84vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.69-0.76vs Predicted
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12Texas A&M University0.24+0.17vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.97-1.42vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University0.68-3.18vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University1.09-6.02vs Predicted
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16Boston University-0.05-2.69vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College0.52-5.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.77Tulane University1.737.3%1st Place
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6.16College of Charleston1.8110.4%1st Place
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8.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.605.5%1st Place
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6.15Brown University1.999.8%1st Place
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12.1Fordham University0.541.9%1st Place
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4.22Yale University2.5519.3%1st Place
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7.31Cornell University1.886.4%1st Place
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5.66Harvard University2.1010.9%1st Place
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8.35Georgetown University1.375.7%1st Place
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9.16University of Hawaii1.093.9%1st Place
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10.24Tufts University0.693.0%1st Place
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12.17Texas A&M University0.242.2%1st Place
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11.58Salve Regina University0.972.2%1st Place
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10.82Old Dominion University0.682.5%1st Place
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8.98North Carolina State University1.095.2%1st Place
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13.31Boston University-0.051.7%1st Place
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11.89Connecticut College0.522.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Benson | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Emma Tallman | 10.4% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Emma Snead | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% |
| Katharine Doble | 9.8% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 14.2% |
| Emma Cowles | 19.3% | 17.2% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Moran | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Cordelia Burn | 10.9% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Riley Kloc | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Morgan Carew | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Samantha Jensen | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.1% |
| Kate Hennig | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 15.8% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 11.0% |
| Megan Geith | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.2% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Madeline Stull | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 12.6% | 15.6% | 27.7% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 12.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.