← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of South Florida1.44+8.14vs Predicted
-
2George Washington University0.93+7.56vs Predicted
-
3Bowdoin College1.51+4.26vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+1.57vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College1.60+2.18vs Predicted
-
6University of Rhode Island0.30+5.67vs Predicted
-
7Stanford University2.64-2.85vs Predicted
-
8University of Wisconsin0.36+2.94vs Predicted
-
9St. Mary's College of Maryland0.61+0.95vs Predicted
-
10Roger Williams University0.49+0.84vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Naval Academy0.52-0.55vs Predicted
-
12University of Hawaii0.12+0.49vs Predicted
-
13University of Pennsylvania1.72-6.14vs Predicted
-
14Jacksonville University0.36-2.38vs Predicted
-
15Northeastern University1.22-7.70vs Predicted
-
16Eckerd College-0.17-2.91vs Predicted
-
17Boston College2.40-12.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.14University of South Florida1.444.5%1st Place
-
9.56George Washington University0.933.5%1st Place
-
7.26Bowdoin College1.516.9%1st Place
-
5.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.7711.2%1st Place
-
7.18Dartmouth College1.607.8%1st Place
-
11.67University of Rhode Island0.301.8%1st Place
-
4.15Stanford University2.6418.2%1st Place
-
10.94University of Wisconsin0.362.9%1st Place
-
9.95St. Mary's College of Maryland0.613.1%1st Place
-
10.84Roger Williams University0.493.0%1st Place
-
10.45U. S. Naval Academy0.523.5%1st Place
-
12.49University of Hawaii0.121.6%1st Place
-
6.86University of Pennsylvania1.727.6%1st Place
-
11.62Jacksonville University0.362.2%1st Place
-
7.3Northeastern University1.226.9%1st Place
-
13.09Eckerd College-0.171.1%1st Place
-
4.93Boston College2.4014.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Monahan | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Avery Canavan | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.0% |
| Kyra Phelan | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 11.2% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Eastman | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% |
| Abbie Chipps | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 11.2% |
| Hannah Freeman | 18.2% | 16.2% | 14.2% | 13.5% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% |
| Lily Flack | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% |
| Katherine McGagh | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.8% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 15.5% | 17.5% |
| Torrey Chisari | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Ella Bilow | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 11.6% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Lily Schwartz | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 25.7% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 14.0% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.