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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.99+4.84vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.10+3.65vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+5.39vs Predicted
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4Tulane University1.73+2.91vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University0.68+6.00vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston1.81+0.45vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.88+0.40vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.55-3.76vs Predicted
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9Fordham University0.54+3.01vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.69+0.24vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University0.97+0.35vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii1.09-2.98vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University1.37-4.73vs Predicted
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14Boston University-0.05-0.71vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University1.09-6.04vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.52-3.99vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University0.24-5.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.84Brown University1.9911.4%1st Place
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5.65Harvard University2.1011.7%1st Place
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8.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.605.2%1st Place
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6.91Tulane University1.737.2%1st Place
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11.0Old Dominion University0.682.4%1st Place
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6.45College of Charleston1.819.2%1st Place
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7.4Cornell University1.885.9%1st Place
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4.24Yale University2.5518.2%1st Place
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12.01Fordham University0.542.1%1st Place
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10.24Tufts University0.693.5%1st Place
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11.35Salve Regina University0.972.7%1st Place
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9.02University of Hawaii1.095.1%1st Place
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8.27Georgetown University1.375.5%1st Place
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13.29Boston University-0.051.5%1st Place
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8.96North Carolina State University1.094.2%1st Place
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12.01Connecticut College0.521.8%1st Place
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11.98Texas A&M University0.242.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katharine Doble | 11.4% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Cordelia Burn | 11.7% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Emma Snead | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Caroline Benson | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Megan Geith | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.4% |
| Emma Tallman | 9.2% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Meredith Moran | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Emma Cowles | 18.2% | 17.2% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 13.4% |
| Samantha Jensen | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 4.7% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 10.2% |
| Morgan Carew | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Riley Kloc | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Madeline Stull | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 14.6% | 29.5% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 13.7% |
| Kate Hennig | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 13.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.