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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz0.91+1.47vs Predicted
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2University of California at Davis0.00+1.83vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.18+0.46vs Predicted
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4University of California at Davis-0.58+1.64vs Predicted
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5-0.44-0.36vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-1.35+0.23vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.46-0.86vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.10-4.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.47University of California at Santa Cruz0.9134.3%1st Place
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3.83University of California at Davis0.0013.6%1st Place
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3.46University of California at Santa Cruz0.1817.2%1st Place
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5.64University of California at Davis-0.584.6%1st Place
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4.64-0.447.5%1st Place
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6.23University of California at San Diego-1.353.6%1st Place
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6.14University of California at San Diego-1.463.8%1st Place
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3.6University of California at Santa Cruz0.1015.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Olson | 34.3% | 24.7% | 18.2% | 11.6% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Sean von Engelbrechten | 13.6% | 16.4% | 15.6% | 17.0% | 15.3% | 12.5% | 7.2% | 2.5% |
| Ethan ? | 17.2% | 17.4% | 20.2% | 15.7% | 14.3% | 9.0% | 4.7% | 1.5% |
| Jonah Brees | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 19.1% | 23.5% | 18.4% |
| SCYC 1 | 7.5% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 16.1% | 17.0% | 17.4% | 13.6% | 6.5% |
| Maximus Suh | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 15.1% | 23.2% | 34.3% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 13.5% | 21.7% | 34.9% |
| Jack Zemke | 15.3% | 18.7% | 15.7% | 16.8% | 16.6% | 10.1% | 5.0% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.