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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz0.18+2.48vs Predicted
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2University of California at Davis-0.58+3.51vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.91-0.49vs Predicted
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4University of California at Davis0.00-0.27vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.10-1.41vs Predicted
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6-0.44-1.47vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.35-0.73vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-1.46-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.48University of California at Santa Cruz0.1817.3%1st Place
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5.51University of California at Davis-0.585.2%1st Place
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2.51University of California at Santa Cruz0.9132.1%1st Place
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3.73University of California at Davis0.0014.6%1st Place
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3.59University of California at Santa Cruz0.1016.4%1st Place
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4.53-0.448.8%1st Place
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6.27University of California at San Diego-1.352.9%1st Place
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6.39University of California at San Diego-1.462.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan ? | 17.3% | 18.1% | 17.4% | 16.6% | 14.8% | 9.8% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Jonah Brees | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 19.2% | 21.9% | 17.2% |
| Colin Olson | 32.1% | 25.5% | 19.4% | 11.4% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Sean von Engelbrechten | 14.6% | 16.0% | 17.0% | 16.4% | 16.3% | 11.8% | 6.1% | 1.9% |
| Jack Zemke | 16.4% | 17.1% | 17.6% | 16.8% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 5.7% | 1.3% |
| SCYC 1 | 8.8% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 16.2% | 18.6% | 16.2% | 12.4% | 5.9% |
| Maximus Suh | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 14.7% | 24.6% | 33.8% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 12.9% | 24.0% | 38.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.