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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Davis-0.58+4.55vs Predicted
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2University of California at Davis0.00+1.82vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.91-0.48vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-1.35+2.15vs Predicted
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5-0.44-0.45vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.10-2.35vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.46-0.73vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.18-4.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.55University of California at Davis-0.584.6%1st Place
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3.82University of California at Davis0.0013.4%1st Place
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2.52University of California at Santa Cruz0.9132.5%1st Place
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6.15University of California at San Diego-1.353.8%1st Place
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4.55-0.449.2%1st Place
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3.65University of California at Santa Cruz0.1015.7%1st Place
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6.27University of California at San Diego-1.463.0%1st Place
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3.48University of California at Santa Cruz0.1817.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonah Brees | 4.6% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 13.8% | 18.2% | 22.9% | 17.4% |
| Sean von Engelbrechten | 13.4% | 16.0% | 16.1% | 16.7% | 17.1% | 11.3% | 7.1% | 2.2% |
| Colin Olson | 32.5% | 25.0% | 18.1% | 12.7% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Maximus Suh | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 15.4% | 21.6% | 34.5% |
| SCYC 1 | 9.2% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 15.7% | 17.1% | 15.8% | 5.1% |
| Jack Zemke | 15.7% | 15.8% | 17.1% | 17.9% | 15.2% | 11.2% | 5.6% | 1.6% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 14.1% | 21.6% | 37.2% |
| Ethan ? | 17.9% | 16.9% | 17.6% | 17.9% | 14.2% | 9.1% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.