← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Cruz0.91+1.54vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Cruz0.10+1.63vs Predicted
-
3-0.44+1.62vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Cruz0.18-0.54vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Davis0.00-1.23vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Davis-0.58-0.52vs Predicted
-
7University of California at San Diego-1.46-0.71vs Predicted
-
8University of California at San Diego-1.35-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.54University of California at Santa Cruz0.9132.4%1st Place
-
3.63University of California at Santa Cruz0.1015.6%1st Place
-
4.62-0.449.6%1st Place
-
3.46University of California at Santa Cruz0.1817.5%1st Place
-
3.77University of California at Davis0.0013.6%1st Place
-
5.48University of California at Davis-0.585.1%1st Place
-
6.29University of California at San Diego-1.462.7%1st Place
-
6.21University of California at San Diego-1.353.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Olson | 32.4% | 25.4% | 17.1% | 13.0% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Jack Zemke | 15.6% | 17.2% | 17.7% | 15.4% | 15.8% | 10.7% | 5.9% | 1.8% |
| SCYC 1 | 9.6% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 17.5% | 18.0% | 13.9% | 6.5% |
| Ethan ? | 17.5% | 17.4% | 17.8% | 18.1% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
| Sean von Engelbrechten | 13.6% | 16.7% | 16.5% | 16.9% | 16.0% | 11.8% | 6.2% | 2.4% |
| Jonah Brees | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 18.1% | 22.0% | 17.3% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 23.6% | 36.2% |
| Maximus Suh | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 14.8% | 22.7% | 34.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.