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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Davis0.00+2.78vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz0.18+1.49vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-1.35+3.16vs Predicted
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4University of California at Davis-0.58+1.53vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.91-2.51vs Predicted
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6-0.44-1.49vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.10-3.32vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-1.46-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.78University of California at Davis0.0015.0%1st Place
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3.49University of California at Santa Cruz0.1815.2%1st Place
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6.16University of California at San Diego-1.353.5%1st Place
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5.53University of California at Davis-0.585.6%1st Place
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2.49University of California at Santa Cruz0.9132.5%1st Place
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4.51-0.449.5%1st Place
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3.68University of California at Santa Cruz0.1015.3%1st Place
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6.36University of California at San Diego-1.463.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean von Engelbrechten | 15.0% | 14.3% | 15.8% | 16.9% | 18.1% | 11.3% | 7.0% | 1.5% |
| Ethan ? | 15.2% | 19.1% | 19.4% | 16.7% | 14.1% | 9.8% | 4.8% | 0.9% |
| Maximus Suh | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 13.8% | 23.8% | 33.1% |
| Jonah Brees | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 19.2% | 22.7% | 17.8% |
| Colin Olson | 32.5% | 25.4% | 18.4% | 12.8% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| SCYC 1 | 9.5% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 15.2% | 16.3% | 17.1% | 12.0% | 6.8% |
| Jack Zemke | 15.3% | 16.4% | 16.4% | 16.4% | 16.2% | 11.8% | 5.8% | 1.7% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 13.5% | 23.4% | 38.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.