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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz0.18+2.49vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz0.91+0.48vs Predicted
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3University of California at Davis0.00+0.77vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.10-0.42vs Predicted
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5-0.44-0.45vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-0.58-0.42vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.46-0.72vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-1.35-1.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.49University of California at Santa Cruz0.1817.0%1st Place
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2.48University of California at Santa Cruz0.9133.5%1st Place
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3.77University of California at Davis0.0013.8%1st Place
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3.58University of California at Santa Cruz0.1017.4%1st Place
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4.55-0.448.6%1st Place
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5.58University of California at Davis-0.584.6%1st Place
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6.28University of California at San Diego-1.462.5%1st Place
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6.28University of California at San Diego-1.352.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan ? | 17.0% | 18.4% | 17.5% | 16.2% | 14.2% | 10.2% | 5.5% | 0.9% |
| Colin Olson | 33.5% | 25.2% | 18.1% | 13.0% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Sean von Engelbrechten | 13.8% | 17.4% | 16.6% | 15.3% | 15.8% | 11.8% | 7.1% | 2.2% |
| Jack Zemke | 17.4% | 15.0% | 18.0% | 17.2% | 15.0% | 10.3% | 5.7% | 1.3% |
| SCYC 1 | 8.6% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 15.7% | 17.6% | 16.9% | 12.8% | 5.9% |
| Jonah Brees | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 19.2% | 21.4% | 18.6% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 14.2% | 22.5% | 35.6% |
| Maximus Suh | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 14.2% | 23.6% | 35.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.