← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
5.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bowdoin College2.70+10.40vs Predicted
-
2University of Vermont3.62+6.32vs Predicted
-
3University of Connecticut2.62+8.83vs Predicted
-
4Salve Regina University3.84+3.66vs Predicted
-
5Brown University4.25+1.07vs Predicted
-
6University of Rhode Island3.62+2.58vs Predicted
-
7Connecticut College3.68+1.19vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University3.70-0.01vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.68+7.05vs Predicted
-
10Boston University2.53+2.20vs Predicted
-
11Roger Williams University4.31-4.83vs Predicted
-
12Boston College4.43-6.31vs Predicted
-
13Dartmouth College4.05-6.02vs Predicted
-
14University of New Hampshire1.81+0.10vs Predicted
-
15Harvard University4.17-8.51vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53-7.20vs Predicted
-
18Yale University4.19-11.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
11.4Bowdoin College2.700.0%1st Place
-
8.32University of Vermont3.620.1%1st Place
-
11.83University of Connecticut2.620.0%1st Place
-
7.66Salve Regina University3.840.1%1st Place
-
6.07Brown University4.250.1%1st Place
-
8.58University of Rhode Island3.620.1%1st Place
-
8.19Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
-
7.99Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
-
16.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.680.0%1st Place
-
12.2Boston University2.530.0%1st Place
-
6.17Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
-
5.69Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
-
6.98Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
-
14.1University of New Hampshire1.810.0%1st Place
-
6.49Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
-
8.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.0%1st Place
-
6.5Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billy Rohman | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 13.3% | 17.2% | 11.5% | 3.0% |
| Coleman Bowen | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Peter Giuliano | 1.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 12.8% | 15.6% | 14.8% | 4.7% |
| Patrick Clancy | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| William Brown | 11.1% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Carmody | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Maggie Shea | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Massimo Soriano | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Lisa Archibald | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 17.2% | 66.7% |
| Mathew Renik | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 17.9% | 14.6% | 5.2% |
| Sean Bouchard | 11.1% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Anne Haeger | 11.1% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Wefer | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Neal Drake | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 14.4% | 32.4% | 18.9% |
| John Stokes | 9.3% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 4.0% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Joseph Morris | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.