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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz0.91+1.22vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz-0.29+1.87vs Predicted
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3University of California at Davis0.00+0.44vs Predicted
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4-0.44+0.33vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz-0.59-0.17vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-1.35-0.05vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis-0.58-1.74vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-1.46-1.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.22University of California at Santa Cruz0.9139.0%1st Place
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3.87University of California at Santa Cruz-0.2914.3%1st Place
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3.44University of California at Davis0.0016.2%1st Place
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4.33-0.449.4%1st Place
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4.83University of California at Santa Cruz-0.596.8%1st Place
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5.95University of California at San Diego-1.354.0%1st Place
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5.26University of California at Davis-0.587.0%1st Place
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6.09University of California at San Diego-1.463.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Olson | 39.0% | 27.7% | 16.4% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Elliott | 14.3% | 14.0% | 17.6% | 16.1% | 14.7% | 12.1% | 7.5% | 3.6% |
| Sean von Engelbrechten | 16.2% | 18.3% | 19.3% | 18.3% | 13.7% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| SCYC 1 | 9.4% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 16.7% | 16.6% | 14.0% | 11.5% | 5.5% |
| Ryan Martin | 6.8% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 14.7% | 16.5% | 16.4% | 9.8% |
| Maximus Suh | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 15.5% | 20.1% | 30.4% |
| Jonah Brees | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 14.1% | 16.7% | 19.1% | 16.7% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 14.6% | 20.6% | 32.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.