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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Davis0.00+2.49vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz-0.59+2.75vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.91-0.72vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz-0.29-0.09vs Predicted
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5University of California at Davis-0.58+0.26vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-1.35-0.01vs Predicted
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7-0.44-2.74vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-1.46-1.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.49University of California at Davis0.0017.0%1st Place
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4.75University of California at Santa Cruz-0.598.0%1st Place
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2.28University of California at Santa Cruz0.9137.9%1st Place
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3.91University of California at Santa Cruz-0.2912.4%1st Place
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5.26University of California at Davis-0.586.9%1st Place
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5.99University of California at San Diego-1.354.0%1st Place
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4.26-0.4410.2%1st Place
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6.06University of California at San Diego-1.463.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean von Engelbrechten | 17.0% | 18.6% | 17.9% | 16.2% | 14.5% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 1.6% |
| Ryan Martin | 8.0% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 16.1% | 16.2% | 15.3% | 9.2% |
| Colin Olson | 37.9% | 25.8% | 17.7% | 11.1% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Elliott | 12.4% | 15.4% | 17.0% | 17.2% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 8.1% | 3.0% |
| Jonah Brees | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 17.2% | 18.2% | 16.7% |
| Maximus Suh | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 15.4% | 19.7% | 31.9% |
| SCYC 1 | 10.2% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 15.8% | 16.7% | 14.3% | 10.8% | 4.9% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 21.9% | 32.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.