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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Davis0.07+2.63vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz-0.40+2.60vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz-0.37+1.53vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-1.01vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz-0.17-0.75vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-1.11+0.02vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis-1.41-0.68vs Predicted
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80.13-4.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.63University of California at Davis0.0716.8%1st Place
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4.6University of California at Santa Cruz-0.4010.0%1st Place
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4.53University of California at Santa Cruz-0.3710.4%1st Place
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2.99University of California at Santa Cruz0.8626.4%1st Place
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4.25University of California at Santa Cruz-0.1712.2%1st Place
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6.02University of California at San Diego-1.114.2%1st Place
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6.32University of California at Davis-1.413.4%1st Place
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3.670.1316.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braedon Hansen | 16.8% | 16.9% | 16.9% | 15.4% | 14.8% | 11.1% | 6.6% | 1.8% |
| Jonas Holdenried | 10.0% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 14.8% | 15.7% | 14.9% | 8.2% |
| Artie Nazarov | 10.4% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 14.7% | 15.5% | 13.9% | 7.8% |
| Blake Roberts | 26.4% | 21.5% | 16.5% | 14.2% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Dante Massaro | 12.2% | 13.5% | 14.3% | 13.3% | 14.8% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 5.5% |
| Ryan McCrystal | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 23.6% | 31.4% |
| Melody Quevedo | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 12.1% | 18.4% | 42.2% |
| SCYC 2 | 16.8% | 16.3% | 16.5% | 16.3% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 6.9% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.