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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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10.13+2.62vs Predicted
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2University of California at Davis0.07+1.54vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+0.02vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz-0.40+0.54vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz-0.17-0.69vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-1.11-0.04vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz-0.37-2.34vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis-1.41-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.620.1318.2%1st Place
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3.54University of California at Davis0.0718.1%1st Place
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3.02University of California at Santa Cruz0.8624.6%1st Place
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4.54University of California at Santa Cruz-0.4010.5%1st Place
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4.31University of California at Santa Cruz-0.1710.3%1st Place
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5.96University of California at San Diego-1.113.9%1st Place
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4.66University of California at Santa Cruz-0.379.9%1st Place
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6.36University of California at Davis-1.414.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SCYC 2 | 18.2% | 17.2% | 15.3% | 15.1% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 7.0% | 2.3% |
| Braedon Hansen | 18.1% | 18.1% | 16.3% | 15.2% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 6.0% | 1.6% |
| Blake Roberts | 24.6% | 21.1% | 18.6% | 14.9% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Jonas Holdenried | 10.5% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 16.2% | 14.2% | 7.8% |
| Dante Massaro | 10.3% | 12.8% | 15.0% | 14.7% | 15.4% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 5.9% |
| Ryan McCrystal | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 25.0% | 28.1% |
| Artie Nazarov | 9.9% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 14.9% | 16.5% | 14.5% | 9.2% |
| Melody Quevedo | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 17.5% | 44.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.