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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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10.13+2.74vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz-0.17+2.26vs Predicted
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3University of California at Davis0.07+0.52vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-0.97vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz-0.37-0.34vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz-0.40-1.44vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.11-1.04vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis-1.41-1.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.740.1317.2%1st Place
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4.26University of California at Santa Cruz-0.1711.6%1st Place
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3.52University of California at Davis0.0717.2%1st Place
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3.03University of California at Santa Cruz0.8624.6%1st Place
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4.66University of California at Santa Cruz-0.3710.2%1st Place
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4.56University of California at Santa Cruz-0.4010.8%1st Place
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5.96University of California at San Diego-1.114.5%1st Place
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6.27University of California at Davis-1.414.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SCYC 2 | 17.2% | 15.8% | 16.8% | 14.0% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 7.8% | 3.2% |
| Dante Massaro | 11.6% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 14.9% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 5.9% |
| Braedon Hansen | 17.2% | 17.8% | 18.4% | 16.5% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 5.2% | 2.4% |
| Blake Roberts | 24.6% | 21.2% | 17.1% | 15.9% | 10.9% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Artie Nazarov | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 16.7% | 15.2% | 9.0% |
| Jonas Holdenried | 10.8% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 14.7% | 16.0% | 14.7% | 8.0% |
| Ryan McCrystal | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 13.8% | 22.7% | 30.1% |
| Melody Quevedo | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 19.4% | 40.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.