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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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10.13+2.76vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz-0.40+2.53vs Predicted
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3University of California at Davis0.07+0.46vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-0.94vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-1.11+0.86vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.30-2.26vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis-2.00+0.01vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz-0.37-3.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.760.1315.6%1st Place
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4.53University of California at Santa Cruz-0.409.2%1st Place
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3.46University of California at Davis0.0719.7%1st Place
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3.06University of California at Santa Cruz0.8624.0%1st Place
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5.86University of California at San Diego-1.114.1%1st Place
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3.74University of California at Santa Cruz0.3015.8%1st Place
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7.01University of California at Davis-2.001.8%1st Place
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4.57University of California at Santa Cruz-0.379.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SCYC 2 | 15.6% | 16.9% | 15.6% | 15.3% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 7.8% | 2.6% |
| Jonas Holdenried | 9.2% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 15.6% | 17.6% | 14.5% | 5.3% |
| Braedon Hansen | 19.7% | 16.7% | 17.2% | 16.1% | 13.3% | 10.2% | 5.8% | 1.1% |
| Blake Roberts | 24.0% | 21.3% | 17.4% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Ryan McCrystal | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 14.7% | 31.7% | 20.3% |
| Summer Drake | 15.8% | 16.3% | 15.7% | 14.9% | 15.6% | 12.8% | 7.6% | 1.4% |
| Sam Dudley | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 14.0% | 62.5% |
| Artie Nazarov | 9.8% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 17.2% | 15.5% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.