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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College4.05+7.19vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University4.01+6.30vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.99+5.39vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University4.71+1.42vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia3.54+4.96vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.72+3.30vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University4.74-1.62vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.68+5.31vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.78-0.05vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-1.23vs Predicted
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11Washington College3.07+1.07vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida3.49-1.36vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.88-4.53vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-1.37vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96-6.76vs Predicted
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16University of Miami2.83-3.00vs Predicted
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17Harvard University3.49-6.57vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College3.60-8.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.19Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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8.3Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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8.39U. S. Naval Academy3.990.1%1st Place
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5.42Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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9.96University of Virginia3.540.0%1st Place
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9.3Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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5.38Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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13.31University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
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8.95Connecticut College3.780.0%1st Place
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8.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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12.07Washington College3.070.0%1st Place
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10.64University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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8.47Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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12.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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8.24St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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13.0University of Miami2.830.0%1st Place
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10.43Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
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9.58SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Wefer | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Dillon Paiva | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% |
| Michael Reindl | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% |
| Alec Anderson | 14.0% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 4.2% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.1% |
| Oliver Toole | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.7% |
| Chris Barnard | 14.0% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Michael Russom | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 14.7% | 22.2% |
| Kevin Martland | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Andrew Sommer | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 11.7% |
| Will Stocke | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% |
| Alex Cook | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 18.3% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Taylor Scheuermann | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 18.9% |
| Brian Drumm | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 3.9% |
| Harry Scott | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.