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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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10.13+2.69vs Predicted
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2University of California at Davis0.07+1.56vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz-0.40+1.56vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz-0.37+0.57vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-1.88vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.30-2.29vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis-2.00+0.02vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-1.11-2.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.690.1317.1%1st Place
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3.56University of California at Davis0.0717.3%1st Place
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4.56University of California at Santa Cruz-0.4010.1%1st Place
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4.57University of California at Santa Cruz-0.3710.1%1st Place
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3.12University of California at Santa Cruz0.8622.0%1st Place
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3.71University of California at Santa Cruz0.3016.7%1st Place
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7.02University of California at Davis-2.001.8%1st Place
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5.77University of California at San Diego-1.115.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SCYC 2 | 17.1% | 16.1% | 16.3% | 15.3% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 7.3% | 1.9% |
| Braedon Hansen | 17.3% | 17.4% | 16.8% | 15.3% | 14.9% | 11.2% | 5.9% | 1.2% |
| Jonas Holdenried | 10.1% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 15.8% | 17.8% | 15.6% | 5.5% |
| Artie Nazarov | 10.1% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 13.9% | 14.5% | 16.7% | 15.4% | 6.7% |
| Blake Roberts | 22.0% | 20.9% | 18.2% | 15.9% | 11.6% | 7.8% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Summer Drake | 16.7% | 15.4% | 15.8% | 15.5% | 15.7% | 12.7% | 6.9% | 1.5% |
| Sam Dudley | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 15.3% | 62.5% |
| Ryan McCrystal | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 14.4% | 30.3% | 20.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.