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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.74+4.54vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.99+6.38vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University4.71+2.55vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College4.05+3.85vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+3.22vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.78+3.09vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia3.54+3.05vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.72+1.18vs Predicted
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9Washington College3.07+3.02vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.88-1.13vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.68+2.52vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University4.01-3.56vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-4.58vs Predicted
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14University of Miami2.83-1.38vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-2.14vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida3.49-5.63vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College3.60-7.04vs Predicted
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18Harvard University3.49-7.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.54Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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8.38U. S. Naval Academy3.990.1%1st Place
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5.55Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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7.85Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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8.22St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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9.09Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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10.05University of Virginia3.540.0%1st Place
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9.18Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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12.02Washington College3.070.0%1st Place
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8.87Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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13.52University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
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8.44Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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8.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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12.62University of Miami2.830.0%1st Place
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12.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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10.37University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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9.96SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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10.05Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Barnard | 12.6% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Reindl | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% |
| Alec Anderson | 12.0% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Wefer | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 6.5% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 2.5% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 3.7% |
| Oliver Toole | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.4% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 8.9% |
| Alex Cook | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Michael Russom | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 25.7% |
| Dillon Paiva | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Andrew Sommer | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% |
| Taylor Scheuermann | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 17.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 18.9% |
| Will Stocke | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% |
| Harry Scott | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 3.5% |
| Brian Drumm | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.