← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Cruz-0.40+3.56vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Cruz0.30+1.68vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+0.01vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Davis0.07-0.51vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Cruz-0.37-0.34vs Predicted
-
60.13-2.32vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Davis-2.00-0.01vs Predicted
-
8University of California at San Diego-1.11-2.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.56University of California at Santa Cruz-0.408.8%1st Place
-
3.68University of California at Santa Cruz0.3014.8%1st Place
-
3.01University of California at Santa Cruz0.8624.6%1st Place
-
3.49University of California at Davis0.0718.9%1st Place
-
4.66University of California at Santa Cruz-0.379.2%1st Place
-
3.680.1317.1%1st Place
-
6.99University of California at Davis-2.002.2%1st Place
-
5.94University of California at San Diego-1.114.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonas Holdenried | 8.8% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 14.5% | 18.1% | 15.5% | 5.6% |
| Summer Drake | 14.8% | 17.6% | 16.4% | 16.3% | 15.1% | 12.2% | 6.5% | 1.2% |
| Blake Roberts | 24.6% | 21.6% | 17.7% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Braedon Hansen | 18.9% | 17.2% | 17.4% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 10.5% | 5.9% | 1.1% |
| Artie Nazarov | 9.2% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 15.6% | 18.6% | 15.2% | 6.1% |
| SCYC 2 | 17.1% | 14.9% | 16.7% | 16.2% | 14.9% | 11.8% | 6.8% | 1.6% |
| Sam Dudley | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 8.2% | 16.1% | 61.0% |
| Ryan McCrystal | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 14.5% | 31.1% | 22.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.